Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Colovray Sports Centre, Nyon
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Simo J.
21'
Borges F.
42' Event
Borges F.
Assist: Bah Mendes I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Stade Nyonnais
20%
Draws
57%
Aarau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aarau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Aarau have won more games recently than Stade Nyonnais.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Stade Nyonnais taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 20%
Aarau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Nyonnais Aarau
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 3 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.96 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Challenge League
Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais
2:1
May 8, 2026 Challenge League
Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais
5:1
Feb 20, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Challenge League
Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais
0:1
Aug 22, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau
4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Nyonnais Compare

Top Goalscorer Borges F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Aarau Compare

Top Goalscorer Filet E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Nyonnais 36 / 100
Aarau 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Nyonnais Aarau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Stade Nyonnais found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Aarau let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Stade Nyonnais stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stade Nyonnais VS Aarau
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Nyonnais

(Home)
15 Aug
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 3
Stade Nyonnais
07 Aug
Aarau
2 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
31 Jul
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
24 Jul
Lausanne Ouchy
2 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Jul
Bulle
4 : 4
Stade Nyonnais
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Aarau

(Away)
16 Aug
Biel
3 : 4
Aarau
07 Aug
Aarau
2 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Aug
Aarau
1 : 1
Lausanne Ouchy
24 Jul
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 0
Aarau
18 Jul
Aarau
2 : 1
Union Berlin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaduz 36 25 6 5 75:41 81
2 Aarau 36 25 5 6 77:47 80
3 Yverdon 36 20 7 9 75:48 67
4 Lausanne Ouchy 36 14 8 14 59:51 50
5 Xamax 36 14 7 15 55:56 49
6 Rapperswil-Jona 36 14 2 20 52:62 44
7 Etoile-Carouge 36 10 10 16 46:54 40
8 Wil 36 10 10 16 39:55 40
9 Stade Nyonnais 36 5 13 18 33:60 28
10 Bellinzona 36 5 8 23 40:77 23
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)