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Stade Nyonnais vs Basel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup Colovray Sports Centre, Nyon
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has Basel written all over it on paper. Stade Nyonnais have averaged 0.89 scored and 2.18 conceded recently, against Basel's 1.78 scored and 2.33 conceded. Past meetings favor Basel slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 15, 2024, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.63 - 2.56) back Basel to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Stade Nyonnais
15%
Draws
64%
Basel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Basel lately — more wins on the board than Stade Nyonnais.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Basel arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Basel, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 10%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Nyonnais Basel
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 2 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.89 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.18 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2024 Swiss Cup
Stade Nyonnais vs Basel
0:1
Jul 12, 2024 Club Friendly
Basel vs Stade Nyonnais
0:0
Dec 15, 2007 Swiss Cup
Basel vs Stade Nyonnais
2:0
Feb 20, 1999 Swiss Cup
Stade Nyonnais vs Basel
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Nyonnais 30 / 100
Basel 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Nyonnais Basel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: Stade Nyonnais scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Basel's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Stade Nyonnais VS Basel
0.88 Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Nyonnais

(Home)
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Xamax
06 Sept
Yverdon
4 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2
Winterthur
28 Aug
Kriens
3 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
Page 1 of 6

Basel

(Away)
03 Oct
Winterthur
7 : 3
Basel
20 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
St. Gallen
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
03 Sept
Basel
1 : 2
Sion
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Aesch 1
Langenthal 5
Meyrin 0
Xamax 1
FC Interlaken 1
Bulle 4
Rebstein 2
Wil 6
Koniz 3
Munsingen 1
Wiesendangen 0
Bruhl SG 6
CS Italien 1
Lausanne Ouchy 8
Collex-Bossy 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
Kaufdorf 0
Old Boys 5
Terre Sainte 0
Yverdon 5
Amical Saint-Prex 1
Stade Nyonnais 3
Courtetelle 1
Basel 6
Rotkreuz 4
Bellinzona 1
Bavois 0
Servette 7
Rorschach 2
Schaffhausen 4
FC Saxon-Sports 0
Thun 6
Biel 3
Aarau 4
Tuggen 1
Zurich 2
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Rapperswil-Jona 6
Thalwil 0
St. Gallen 3
Zurich City SC 1
Winterthur 3
Buochs 0
Luzern 3
Mutschellen 3
FC Winkeln SG 4
Kosova Neuchatel 0
Lausanne 6
Courrendlin-Courroux 0
Grenchen 1
Regensdorf 0
Grasshoppers 5
Pully 2
Genolier-Begnins 0
Vedeggio 1
Lugano 10
Taverne 2
Brunnen 1
Liestal 0
Young Boys 4
Cham 2
Kriens 0
Kerzers 1
Sion 6
1/16-finals
Langenthal -
Xamax -
Bulle -
Wil -
Koniz -
Bruhl SG -
Lausanne Ouchy -
Etoile-Carouge -
Old Boys -
Yverdon -
Stade Nyonnais -
Basel -
Rotkreuz -
Servette -
Schaffhausen -
Thun -
Aarau -
Zurich -
Rapperswil-Jona -
St. Gallen -
Winterthur -
Luzern -
FC Winkeln SG -
Lausanne -
Grenchen -
Grasshoppers -
Pully -
Lugano -
Taverne -
Young Boys -
Cham -
Sion -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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