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Stade Nyonnais vs Lausanne Ouchy Prediction & H2H Stats

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Colovray Sports Centre, Nyon
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Fargues H.
Assist: Mendy F.
27'
Malula B.
31'
Okuka M.

AI Match Summary

Lausanne Ouchy in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lausanne Ouchy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Stade Nyonnais
20%
Draws
74%
Lausanne Ouchy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lausanne Ouchy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Lausanne Ouchy have won more games recently than Stade Nyonnais.
  • Win probability leans Lausanne Ouchy's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 10%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Nyonnais Lausanne Ouchy
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 15
Draws 11 6
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais
2:0
May 11, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais
3:3
Sep 12, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Nyonnais Compare

Top Goalscorer Okuka M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Lausanne Ouchy Compare

Top Goalscorer Fargues H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tritten V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Nyonnais 10 / 100
Lausanne Ouchy 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Nyonnais Lausanne Ouchy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lausanne Ouchy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Stade Nyonnais scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Lausanne Ouchy conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Stade Nyonnais went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stade Nyonnais VS Lausanne Ouchy
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Nyonnais

(Home)
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Xamax
06 Sept
Yverdon
4 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2
Winterthur
28 Aug
Kriens
3 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
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Lausanne Ouchy

(Away)
24 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 2
Sion
20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0
Wil
04 Sept
Kriens
0 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
01 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaduz 36 25 6 5 75:41 81
2 Aarau 36 25 5 6 77:47 80
3 Yverdon 36 20 7 9 75:48 67
4 Lausanne Ouchy 36 14 8 14 59:51 50
5 Xamax 36 14 7 15 55:56 49
6 Rapperswil-Jona 36 14 2 20 52:62 44
7 Etoile-Carouge 36 10 10 16 46:54 40
8 Wil 36 10 10 16 39:55 40
9 Stade Nyonnais 36 5 13 18 33:60 28
10 Bellinzona 36 5 8 23 40:77 23
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)