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Stade Nyonnais vs Lausanne Ouchy

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League 2025/2026 Colovray Sports Centre, Nyon
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Fargues H.
Assist: Mendy F.
27'
Malula B.
31'
Okuka M.

AI Match Summary

Lausanne Ouchy in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lausanne Ouchy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Stade Nyonnais
39%
Draws
30%
Lausanne Ouchy
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Lausanne Ouchy have won more games recently than Stade Nyonnais.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 10%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Nyonnais Lausanne Ouchy
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 15
Draws 12 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais
3:3
Sep 12, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Stade Nyonnais
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Nyonnais Compare

Top Goalscorer Okuka M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lausanne Ouchy Compare

Top Goalscorer Fargues H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tritten V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Nyonnais 30 / 100
Lausanne Ouchy 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Nyonnais Lausanne Ouchy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lausanne Ouchy has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Stade Nyonnais found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Lausanne Ouchy lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stade Nyonnais VS Lausanne Ouchy
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Nyonnais

(Home)
11 Jul
Bulle
4 : 4
Stade Nyonnais
04 Jul
Servette
1 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
15 May
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
11 May
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Lausanne Ouchy
08 May
Aarau
5 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
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Lausanne Ouchy

(Away)
17 Jul
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 1
Servette U21
11 Jul
Zurich
1 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
08 Jul
Servette
2 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
27 Jun
Luzern
3 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
24 May
Lausanne Ouchy
0 : 3
St. Gallen
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vaduz36256575:4181
2Aarau36255677:4780
3Yverdon36207975:4867
4Lausanne Ouchy361481459:5150
5Xamax361471555:5649
6Rapperswil-Jona361422052:6244
7Etoile-Carouge3610101646:5440
8Wil3610101639:5540
9Stade Nyonnais365131833:6028
10Bellinzona36582340:7723
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Promotion League (Main)