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Stade Spiritain vs Vauclinois

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stade Spiritain play Vauclinois in the Trophee Gerard Janvion 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stade Spiritain averaged 0.96 goals scored and 2.54 conceded. Vauclinois averaged 0.96 goals scored and 2.81 conceded. In past meetings, Stade Spiritain won 2, Vauclinois won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 16, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Stade Spiritain and 1.81 for Vauclinois. This points to a Stade Spiritain double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Stade Spiritain
15%
Draws
33%
Vauclinois
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stade Spiritain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Stade Spiritain picked up more points recently compared to Vauclinois.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Stade Spiritain Clean Sheet 11%
Vauclinois Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Spiritain Vauclinois
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 4 3
Draws 3 3
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 0.96 0.96
Goals Conceded 2.54 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Stade Spiritain vs Vauclinois
3:0
Nov 4, 2023 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Vauclinois vs Stade Spiritain
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Spiritain 49 / 100
Vauclinois 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Spiritain Vauclinois

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Stade Spiritain or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stade Spiritain attacking → ← attacking Vauclinois

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Spiritain scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

Vauclinois let in goals in 92% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Stade Spiritain went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Vauclinois lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 12
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88