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Stade Tunisien vs LPTA Tozeur

Tunisia Tunisia

Tunisia Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stade Tunisien play LPTA Tozeur in the Tunisia Cup 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stade Tunisien averaged 1 goals scored and 0.61 conceded. LPTA Tozeur averaged 0.72 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Stade Tunisien won 3, LPTA Tozeur won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 7, 2014 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Stade Tunisien and 0.56 for LPTA Tozeur. This points to a Stade Tunisien double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Stade Tunisien
20%
Draws
26%
LPTA Tozeur
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stade Tunisien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Stade Tunisien picked up more points recently compared to LPTA Tozeur.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 0.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23%
Stade Tunisien Clean Sheet 30%
LPTA Tozeur Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 47%
Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Tunisien LPTA Tozeur
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.24

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2014 Tunisia Cup
Stade Tunisien vs LPTA Tozeur
3:0
May 13, 2014 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs LPTA Tozeur
1:0
Jan 26, 2014 Ligue Professionnelle 1
LPTA Tozeur vs Stade Tunisien
1:0
Jun 10, 2012 Tunisia Cup
Stade Tunisien vs LPTA Tozeur
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Tunisien 55 / 100
LPTA Tozeur 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Tunisien LPTA Tozeur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Tunisien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Stade Tunisien & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +26.1%
4.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stade Tunisien attacking → ← attacking LPTA Tozeur

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Tunisien scored in 55% of their last 33 games.

LPTA Tozeur let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Stade Tunisien went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

LPTA Tozeur lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 25
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00