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Stade Tunisien vs Zarzis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Hedi-Enneifer, Le Bardo
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stade Tunisien host Zarzis in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Stade Tunisien have averaged 0.93 scored and 0.78 conceded recently, against Zarzis's 0.97 scored and 0.84 conceded. Past meetings favor Stade Tunisien slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.68 vs 0.97, favoring Zarzis. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Stade Tunisien
20%
Draws
22%
Zarzis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stade Tunisien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Zarzis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Stade Tunisien taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Stade Tunisien Clean Sheet 20%
Zarzis Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Tunisien Zarzis
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.93 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.78 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.68 0.97
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Zarzis vs Stade Tunisien
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs Zarzis
3:0
Jan 19, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs Zarzis
1:1
Sep 1, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Zarzis vs Stade Tunisien
2:0
Apr 20, 2024 Tunisia Cup
Zarzis vs Stade Tunisien
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Tunisien 58 / 100
Zarzis 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Tunisien Zarzis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Tunisien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Stade Tunisien went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Zarzis registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Stade Tunisien found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Stade Tunisien VS Zarzis
0.86 Goals Scored 1.38
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.5
43% Over 1.5 50%
29% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Tunisien

(Home)
12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3
Stade Tunisien
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1
Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Stade Tunisien
1 : 1
CS Sfaxien
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1
Stade Tunisien
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0
Ben Guerdane
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Zarzis

(Away)
20 Sept
Club Africain
1 : 0
Zarzis
16 Sept
Zarzis
1 : 2
Monastir
12 Sept
Diambars de Saly
1 : 0
Zarzis
04 Sept
Zarzis
3 : 1
Diambars de Saly
29 Aug
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Zarzis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esperance Tunis 5 4 0 1 10:7 12
2 PS Sakiet Eddaier 5 3 2 0 5:1 11
3 Ben Guerdane 5 3 2 0 9:6 11
4 Club Africain 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
5 Monastir 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
6 CS Sfaxien 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
7 CA Bizertin 5 2 2 1 3:3 8
8 Jeunesse Sportive 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
9 Stade Tunisien 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
10 Etoile Sahel 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
11 AS Marsa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Zarzis 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
13 Metlaoui 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
14 Olympique Beja 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
15 Hamam-Sousse 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
16 Hammam-Lif 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)