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Stafford vs Morpeth

England England

NPL Premier Division 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Johnson A.
61' Event
Noble L.
72' Event
Fenton J.

AI Match Summary

Morpeth in this NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morpeth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Stafford
20%
Draws
38%
Morpeth
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stafford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Morpeth have won more games recently than Stafford.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Stafford taking it.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Stafford Clean Sheet 20%
Morpeth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stafford Morpeth
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0 0.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Stafford
6:0
Nov 11, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Stafford vs Morpeth
0:3
Mar 25, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Stafford vs Morpeth
0:0
Oct 15, 2022 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Stafford
2:1
Jan 8, 2022 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Stafford
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stafford Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Morpeth Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Noble L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stafford 42 / 100
Morpeth 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stafford Morpeth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Morpeth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 34 matches.

Attacking prowess: Stafford scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Stafford remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stafford VS Morpeth
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stafford

(Home)
14 Jul
Stafford
0 : 0
Shrewsbury
20 Sept
Sporting Club Inkberrow FC
4 : 3
Stafford
06 Sept
Stafford
1 : 0
Boldmere St Michaels
22 Jul
Stafford
0 : 1
Rushall
07 Sept
Walsall Wood
2 : 1
Stafford
Page 1 of 6

Morpeth

(Away)
18 Jul
Morpeth
2 : 2
Hebburn Town
25 Apr
Morpeth
2 : 0
Warrington Town
18 Apr
Rushall
1 : 0
Morpeth
11 Apr
Hednesford
4 : 0
Morpeth
06 Apr
Morpeth
3 : 0
Whitby
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Radcliffe402839103:5887
2Macclesfield402451184:4777
3Marine402371087:4476
4Warrington Rylands402112765:4275
5Worksop402171272:4970
6Hyde4019101168:4867
7Ashton United4019101173:6367
8Gainsborough401961566:6363
9Lancaster401881460:6262
10Guiseley401871569:6361
11Ilkeston401861669:6260
12Whitby401781560:5056
13Morpeth401481876:8150
14United of Manchester401542155:7748
15Matlock401452162:7747
16Bamber Bridge4012111763:8247
17Workington4011111867:8144
18Basford Utd.409102144:6537
19Bradford PA40792450:8530
20Stafford40932836:8130
21Atherton Collieries40742947:9625
22Marske United00000:00
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