Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stal Jasien vs Skra Czestochowa

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Sat, Apr 18, 2026
0 - 3
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stal Jasien host Skra Czestochowa in the III Liga - Group III 2025/2026. Skra Czestochowa are expected to control this from the start. Skra Czestochowa have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Stal Jasien have conceded 3 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Skra Czestochowa slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.35 - 2.38) back Skra Czestochowa to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Stal Jasien
6%
Draws
90%
Skra Czestochowa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Skra Czestochowa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Skra Czestochowa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Skra Czestochowa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Stal Jasien Clean Sheet 10%
Skra Czestochowa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Jasien Skra Czestochowa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 1 15
Draws 1 3
Losses 28 11
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 3 1.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Stal Jasien vs Skra Czestochowa
0:3
Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Skra Czestochowa vs Stal Jasien
6:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Jasien 10 / 100
Skra Czestochowa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Jasien Skra Czestochowa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Skra Czestochowa conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Away concern: Skra Czestochowa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Stal Jasien scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Stal Jasien VS Skra Czestochowa
0 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057