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Stal Jasien vs Warta Gorzow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Wed, May 13, 2026
0 - 3
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stal Jasien host Warta Gorzow in the III Liga - Group III 2025/2026. Warta Gorzow go into this one as the clear favorite. Stal Jasien have averaged 0.53 scored and 3.1 conceded recently, against Warta Gorzow's 1.41 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Stal Jasien have won 0 to Warta Gorzow's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 2.13, favoring Warta Gorzow. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Stal Jasien
20%
Draws
80%
Warta Gorzow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Warta Gorzow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Warta Gorzow lately — more wins on the board than Stal Jasien.
  • Model gives Warta Gorzow a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Stal Jasien Clean Sheet 10%
Warta Gorzow Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Jasien Warta Gorzow
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 1 12
Draws 1 7
Losses 28 10
Goals Scored 0.53 1.41
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Stal Jasien vs Warta Gorzow
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Stal Jasien
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Jasien 10 / 100
Warta Gorzow 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Jasien Warta Gorzow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warta Gorzow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Warta Gorzow conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Stal Jasien scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Warta Gorzow has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stal Jasien VS Warta Gorzow
0 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Jasien

(Home)
30 May
BKS Sparta Katowice
3 : 0
Stal Jasien
23 May
Stal Jasien
0 : 3
Woliborz
16 May
Carina Gubin
3 : 0
Stal Jasien
13 May
Stal Jasien
0 : 3
Warta Gorzow
09 May
Polkowice
3 : 0
Stal Jasien
Page 1 of 6

Warta Gorzow

(Away)
29 Aug
Warta Gorzow
0 : 2
Zaglebie II
22 Aug
Bytom Odrzanski
0 : 1
Warta Gorzow
19 Aug
Warta Gorzow
0 : 0
Polkowice
15 Aug
Barycz Sulow
2 : 2
Warta Gorzow
08 Aug
Warta Gorzow
2 : 1
Carina Gubin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zielona Gora 34 21 10 3 77:17 73
2 Polkowice 34 20 7 7 64:42 67
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 34 18 8 8 53:34 62
4 Skra Czestochowa 34 17 8 9 68:56 59
5 Zaglebie II 34 17 6 11 77:61 57
6 Goczalkowice Zdroj 34 15 9 10 49:46 54
7 Kluczbork 34 15 7 12 67:43 52
8 Warta Gorzow 34 15 7 12 54:47 52
9 Gornik Zabrze II 34 15 6 13 73:44 51
10 Sleza Wroclaw 34 14 7 13 49:57 49
11 Woliborz 34 13 9 12 48:49 48
12 Carina Gubin 34 12 11 11 50:51 47
13 Legnica II 34 13 7 14 63:58 46
14 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 34 12 9 13 57:56 45
15 Polonia Nysa 34 9 10 15 51:58 37
16 Starowice Dolne 34 7 6 21 33:81 27
17 Pniowek Pawlowice 34 5 4 25 28:77 19
18 Stal Jasien 34 2 1 31 21:105 7
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)