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Stal Mielec vs Avia Swidnik Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kwiecien B.
19' Event
Gmur T.
24' Event
Assuncao D.

AI Match Summary

Avia Swidnik in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avia Swidnik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Stal Mielec
20%
Draws
64%
Avia Swidnik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Avia Swidnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Avia Swidnik have won more games recently than Stal Mielec.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Avia Swidnik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 12%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Mielec Avia Swidnik
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.83 2.19
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Stal Mielec vs Avia Swidnik
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Mielec Compare

Top Goalscorer Kwiecien B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gmur T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Avia Swidnik Compare

Top Goalscorer Assuncao D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zuber M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Mielec 10 / 100
Avia Swidnik 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Mielec Avia Swidnik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avia Swidnik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Mielec's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Avia Swidnik conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Avia Swidnik lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stal Mielec VS Avia Swidnik
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Mielec

(Home)
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1
Odra Opole
02 Sept
Leczna
4 : 3
Stal Mielec
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0
Stal Mielec
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Avia Swidnik

(Away)
18 Sept
Kleczew
2 : 2
Avia Swidnik
13 Sept
Avia Swidnik
0 : 1
Rekord Bielsko-Biala
06 Sept
Tychy
1 : 0
Avia Swidnik
03 Sept
Avia Swidnik
3 : 1
KS Wieczysta Krakow
29 Aug
Avia Swidnik
1 : 3
Zielona Gora
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