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Stal Mielec vs Avia Swidnik

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
3 - 4
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
19' Event
25' Event
Assuncao D.

AI Match Summary

Stal Mielec host Avia Swidnik in the Club Friendly. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Stal Mielec at 1.5 goals for, 1.5 against; Avia Swidnik at 2.38 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Stal Mielec slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 2-1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.94) point toward Avia Swidnik. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Stal Mielec
6%
Draws
90%
Avia Swidnik
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Avia Swidnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Avia Swidnik have won more games recently than Stal Mielec.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Avia Swidnik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 10%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Mielec Avia Swidnik
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 18
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 1
Goals Scored 1.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Stal Mielec vs Avia Swidnik
2-1
Apr 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Avia Swidnik vs Stal Mielec
3-1
Mar 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Stal Mielec vs Avia Swidnik
1-1
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Avia Swidnik vs Stal Mielec
0-1
Jan 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Stal Mielec vs Avia Swidnik
2-1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Mielec Compare

Top Goalscorer Wlazlo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Avia Swidnik Compare

Top Goalscorer Assuncao D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zuber M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Mielec 10 / 100
Avia Swidnik 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Mielec Avia Swidnik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Mielec's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Avia Swidnik has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Stal Mielec went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stal Mielec VS Avia Swidnik
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%