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Stal Mielec vs Chelmianka Chelm

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Stal Mielec and Chelmianka Chelm finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stal Mielec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Stal Mielec
44%
Draws
20%
Chelmianka Chelm
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chelmianka Chelm come out ahead of Stal Mielec on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 12%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Mielec Chelmianka Chelm
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Stal Mielec vs Chelmianka Chelm
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Mielec 35 / 100
Chelmianka Chelm 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Mielec Chelmianka Chelm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Mielec's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Chelmianka Chelm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Stal Mielec stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stal Mielec VS Chelmianka Chelm
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Mielec

(Home)
17 Jul
Stal Mielec
3 : 4
Avia Swidnik
17 Jul
Stal Mielec
2 : 2
Jaroslaw
11 Jul
Stal Mielec
1 : 4
Puszcza
04 Jul
Stal Mielec
1 : 0
Sandecja Nowy S.
01 Jul
Stal Mielec
1 : 5
Podhale Nowy Targ
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Chelmianka Chelm

(Away)
18 Jul
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1
Hetman Zamosc
11 Jul
Leczna
4 : 1
Chelmianka Chelm
04 Jul
Avia Swidnik
2 : 1
Chelmianka Chelm
30 May
Wisloka Debica
1 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
23 May
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 0
Naprzod Jedrzejow
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