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Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Glogow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu, Mielec
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stal Mielec host Chrobry Glogow in the Division 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Stal Mielec at 1.89 goals for, 2.11 against; Chrobry Glogow at 1.33 for, 1.43 against. Head-to-head, Stal Mielec have won 2 to Chrobry Glogow's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.81) back Chrobry Glogow to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Stal Mielec
30%
Draws
23%
Chrobry Glogow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stal Mielec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chrobry Glogow lately — more wins on the board than Stal Mielec.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Stal Mielec taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 11%
Chrobry Glogow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Mielec Chrobry Glogow
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.89 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Division 1
Chrobry Glogow vs Stal Mielec
2:1
Oct 3, 2025 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Glogow
1:2
Jul 14, 2020 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Glogow
1:0
Oct 27, 2019 Division 1
Chrobry Glogow vs Stal Mielec
1:0
Apr 28, 2019 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Chrobry Glogow
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Mielec 38 / 100
Chrobry Glogow 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Mielec Chrobry Glogow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stal Mielec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stal Mielec scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Chrobry Glogow has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Chrobry Glogow lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stal Mielec VS Chrobry Glogow
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Mielec

(Home)
11 Oct
Stal Mielec
2 : 1
Warta Poznan
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1
Odra Opole
02 Sept
Leczna
4 : 3
Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 6

Chrobry Glogow

(Away)
10 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 4
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3
Warta Poznan
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0
Chrobry Glogow
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
05 Sept
Legnica
1 : 1
Chrobry Glogow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 10 6 3 1 19:8 21
2 Warta Poznan 11 6 0 5 19:15 18
3 Ruch Chorzow 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Polonia Warszawa 10 5 2 3 17:13 17
5 Termalica Bruk-Bet 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
6 Lechia Gdansk 10 5 1 4 19:16 16
7 LKS Lodz 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Legnica 10 4 2 4 14:10 14
9 S. Rzeszow 10 4 2 4 11:17 14
10 Chrobry Glogow 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
11 Pogon Siedlce 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Polonia Bytom 10 2 6 2 15:17 12
13 Odra Opole 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
14 Stal Mielec 10 3 3 4 16:24 12
15 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
16 Arka Gdynia 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
17 Unia Skierniewice 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
18 Puszcza 10 3 0 7 11:14 9
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)