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Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu, Mielec
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Match Events

8' Event
Szysz P.
Assist: Spychala M.
39'
Sub
Gostomski M. In: Chrapusta P.
Out: Gostomski M.
57'
Sub
Cebula M. In: Kruszelnicki P.
Out: Cebula M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Stal Mielec
20%
Draws
70%
Odra Opole
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Odra Opole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Stal Mielec have won more games recently than Odra Opole.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Odra Opole taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 13%
Odra Opole Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Mielec Odra Opole
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.83 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 Division 1
Odra Opole vs Stal Mielec
0:2
Aug 21, 2025 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole
2:1
Sep 26, 2023 Polish Cup
Odra Opole vs Stal Mielec
1:2
Jul 4, 2020 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Odra Opole
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Mielec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Odra Opole Compare

Top Goalscorer Szysz P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Mielec 19 / 100
Odra Opole 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Mielec Odra Opole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Odra Opole Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Mielec's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Odra Opole conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Stal Mielec went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stal Mielec VS Odra Opole
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Mielec

(Home)
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1
Odra Opole
02 Sept
Leczna
4 : 3
Stal Mielec
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0
Stal Mielec
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Odra Opole

(Away)
02 Oct
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 2
Odra Opole
19 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
1 : 0
Odra Opole
13 Sept
Odra Opole
0 : 1
S. Rzeszow
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1
Odra Opole
01 Sept
Odra Opole
2 : 1
Wisla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
14 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
15 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
16 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
17 Podbeskidzie 9 0 8 1 12:14 8
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)