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Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu, Mielec
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Gmur T.
Assist: Wlazlo P.
10' Event
Kruszelnicki P.
Assist: Cebula M.
20' Event
Getinger K.
Assist: Wlazlo P.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Stal Mielec and Podbeskidzie finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Stal Mielec
35%
Draws
39%
Podbeskidzie
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Podbeskidzie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Podbeskidzie carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Podbeskidzie a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.400000000000006%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 10%
Podbeskidzie Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Mielec Podbeskidzie
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.89 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie
3:3
Mar 15, 2021 Ekstraklasa
Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie
2:1
Oct 3, 2020 Ekstraklasa
Podbeskidzie vs Stal Mielec
1:0
Nov 30, 2019 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie
2:1
Aug 11, 2019 Division 1
Podbeskidzie vs Stal Mielec
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Mielec Compare

Top Goalscorer Gmur T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kruszelnicki P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Podbeskidzie Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasperkiewicz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Urynowicz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Mielec 26 / 100
Podbeskidzie 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Mielec Podbeskidzie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Podbeskidzie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Mielec found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Podbeskidzie let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Stal Mielec stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stal Mielec VS Podbeskidzie
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Mielec

(Home)
11 Oct
Stal Mielec
2 : 1
Warta Poznan
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1
Odra Opole
02 Sept
Leczna
4 : 3
Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 6

Podbeskidzie

(Away)
09 Oct
Podbeskidzie
1 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
02 Oct
Podbeskidzie
0 : 3
Trinec
20 Sept
Podbeskidzie
1 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
12 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 3
Podbeskidzie
06 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0
Podbeskidzie
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 10 6 3 1 19:8 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 10 5 2 3 17:13 17
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Warta Poznan 10 5 0 5 18:15 15
6 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Chrobry Glogow 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Stal Mielec 10 3 3 4 16:24 12
13 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
14 Arka Gdynia 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
15 Unia Skierniewice 10 3 2 5 12:17 11
16 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
17 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)