Sport Picks
Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Division 1 Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu, Mielec 
Match Events
2'
2'
Gmur T.
Assist: Getinger K.
14'
14'
Labojko M.
22'
22'
Andrzejczak K.
Assist: Szymusik G.
AI Match Summary
Stal Mielec in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stal Mielec.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polonia Bytom
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Polonia Bytom have won more games recently than Stal Mielec.
- Polonia Bytom are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 11%
Polonia Bytom Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stal Mielec | Polonia Bytom |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom
5:2
May 24, 2026 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom
4:1
Nov 22, 2025 Division 1
Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec
4:1
Nov 21, 2015 Division 2
Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom
4:3
Aug 1, 2015 Division 2
Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stal Mielec Compare
Top Goalscorer Cybulski K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gmur T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Polonia Bytom Compare
Top Goalscorer Andrzejczak K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rumin D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stal Mielec 10 / 100
Polonia Bytom 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stal Mielec Polonia Bytom
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polonia Bytom Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stal Mielec scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 5.20 goals.
Polonia Bytom has conceded goals in 73% of their last 26 outings.
Recent resilience: Stal Mielec stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stal Mielec VS Polonia Bytom
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Stal Mielec
(Home) 30 Oct
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 1 Stal Mielec
24 Oct
Stal Mielec
0 : 0 Chrobry Glogow
17 Oct
Legnica
3 : 0 Stal Mielec
11 Oct
Stal Mielec
2 : 1 Warta Poznan
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1 Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Stal Mielec
0 : 0 Chrobry Glogow
11 Oct
Stal Mielec
2 : 1 Warta Poznan
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2 Termalica Bruk-Bet
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1 Odra Opole
16 Aug
Stal Mielec
5 : 2 Polonia Bytom
Page 1 of 4
Polonia Bytom
(Away) 02 Nov
Polonia Bytom
3 : 0 Odra Opole
29 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
2 : 0 Polonia Bytom
24 Oct
Unia Skierniewice
1 : 2 Polonia Bytom
17 Oct
Polonia Bytom
3 : 2 Chrobry Glogow
11 Oct
Puszcza
0 : 1 Polonia Bytom
Page 1 of 6
29 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
2 : 0 Polonia Bytom
24 Oct
Unia Skierniewice
1 : 2 Polonia Bytom
11 Oct
Puszcza
0 : 1 Polonia Bytom
02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1 Polonia Bytom
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2 Polonia Bytom
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Warszawa | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 22 |
| 2 | Ruch Chorzow | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Lechia Gdansk | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25:21 | 22 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Polonia Bytom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 23:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 8 | Legnica | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Warta Poznan | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 10 | S. Rzeszow | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:24 | 18 |
| 11 | Pogon Siedlce | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | 16 |
| 12 | Stal Mielec | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:27 | 16 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 14 | Podbeskidzie | 13 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 16:17 | 15 |
| 15 | Chrobry Glogow | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 16 | Puszcza | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16:20 | 14 |
| 17 | Unia Skierniewice | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 20:26 | 14 |
| 18 | Odra Opole | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | 12 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
