Sport Picks
Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom
Poland
Division 1 Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu, Mielec 
Match Events
2'
2'
Gmur T.
Assist: Getinger K.
14'
14'
Labojko M.
22'
22'
Andrzejczak K.
Assist: Szymusik G.
AI Match Summary
Stal Mielec in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stal Mielec.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
35%
57%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Polonia Bytom
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Stal Mielec have won more games recently than Polonia Bytom.
- Polonia Bytom are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 10%
Polonia Bytom Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stal Mielec | Polonia Bytom |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom
5:2
May 24, 2026 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom
4:1
Nov 22, 2025 Division 1
Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec
4:1
Nov 21, 2015 Division 2
Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom
4:3
Aug 1, 2015 Division 2
Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stal Mielec Compare
Top Goalscorer Cybulski K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gmur T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Polonia Bytom Compare
Top Goalscorer Andrzejczak K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rumin D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stal Mielec 10 / 100
Polonia Bytom 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stal Mielec Polonia Bytom
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polonia Bytom Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stal Mielec scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Polonia Bytom let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.
H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Stal Mielec stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stal Mielec VS Polonia Bytom
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Stal Mielec
(Home) 19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1 Stal Mielec
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2 Termalica Bruk-Bet
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1 Odra Opole
02 Sept
Leczna
4 : 3 Stal Mielec
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0 Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2 Termalica Bruk-Bet
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1 Odra Opole
16 Aug
Stal Mielec
5 : 2 Polonia Bytom
08 Aug
Stal Mielec
1 : 1 S. Rzeszow
02 Aug
Stal Mielec
3 : 3 Podbeskidzie
Page 1 of 4
Polonia Bytom
(Away) 18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Ruch Chorzow
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2 Polonia Bytom
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
06 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Podbeskidzie
30 Aug
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1 Polonia Bytom
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2 Polonia Bytom
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
30 Aug
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1 Polonia Bytom
16 Aug
Stal Mielec
5 : 2 Polonia Bytom
31 Jul
LKS Lodz
2 : 1 Polonia Bytom
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 3 | Warta Poznan | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Chrobry Glogow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 12 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 12 | Pogon Siedlce | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 14 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 15 | Unia Skierniewice | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Stal Mielec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 17 | Podbeskidzie | 8 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 11:13 | 7 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
