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Stal Mielec vs Termalica Bruk-Bet Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu, Mielec
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Jakubik W.
34'
Sub
Musiolik S. In: Odolak K.
Out: Musiolik S.
45' Event
Gerbowski F.
Assist: Cybulski K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Stal Mielec and Termalica Bruk-Bet finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Termalica Bruk-Bet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Stal Mielec
20%
Draws
74%
Termalica Bruk-Bet
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Termalica Bruk-Bet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Termalica Bruk-Bet come out ahead of Stal Mielec on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Termalica Bruk-Bet's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 20%
Termalica Bruk-Bet Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Mielec Termalica Bruk-Bet
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
1:2
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Stal Mielec
4:0
Sep 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Stal Mielec vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
3:1
Mar 25, 2022 Club Friendly
Stal Mielec vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
1:4
Dec 10, 2021 Ekstraklasa
Stal Mielec vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Mielec Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerbowski F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Termalica Bruk-Bet Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozik M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Mielec 10 / 100
Termalica Bruk-Bet 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Mielec Termalica Bruk-Bet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Termalica Bruk-Bet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Mielec scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Termalica Bruk-Bet let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Stal Mielec went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stal Mielec VS Termalica Bruk-Bet
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Mielec

(Home)
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1
Odra Opole
02 Sept
Leczna
4 : 3
Stal Mielec
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0
Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 6

Termalica Bruk-Bet

(Away)
19 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
1 : 0
Odra Opole
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1
Lechia Gdansk
01 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 5
Termalica Bruk-Bet
28 Aug
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
14 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
15 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
16 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
17 Podbeskidzie 9 0 8 1 12:14 8
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)