Sport Picks

Poland

Division 2 2025/2026 Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola

GKS Jastrzebie

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Stal Stalowa Wola play GKS Jastrzebie in the Division 2 2025/2026. Stal Stalowa Wola are favorites here. Recently, Stal Stalowa Wola averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. GKS Jastrzebie averaged 0.59 goals scored and 2.62 conceded. In past meetings, Stal Stalowa Wola won 3, GKS Jastrzebie won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Stal Stalowa Wola and 0.94 for GKS Jastrzebie. This points to a Stal Stalowa Wola double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Stal Stalowa Wola

30%

Draws

13%

GKS Jastrzebie

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stal Stalowa Wola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Stal Stalowa Wola picked up more points recently compared to GKS Jastrzebie.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Stal Stalowa Wola Clean Sheet 24%

GKS Jastrzebie Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stal Stalowa Wola	GKS Jastrzebie
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	6	1
Draws	15	5
Losses	6	23
Goals Scored	1.37	0.59
Goals Conceded	1.26	2.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Division 2

Stal Stalowa Wola vs GKS Jastrzebie

Possession: 40% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Nov 8, 2025 Division 2

GKS Jastrzebie vs Stal Stalowa Wola

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 0 - 4

1:5

Nov 18, 2023 Division 2

Stal Stalowa Wola vs GKS Jastrzebie

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 4 - 2

3:1

Jul 22, 2023 Division 2

GKS Jastrzebie vs Stal Stalowa Wola

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Mar 10, 2018 Division 2

GKS Jastrzebie vs Stal Stalowa Wola

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Stalowa Wola 56 / 100

GKS Jastrzebie 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stal Stalowa Wola GKS Jastrzebie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stal Stalowa Wola Win (1)

Secondary Pick Stal Stalowa Wola & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.3%

2.04

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stal Stalowa Wola attacking → ← attacking GKS Jastrzebie

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Stalowa Wola scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

GKS Jastrzebie let in goals in 100% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Stal Stalowa Wola went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

GKS Jastrzebie lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 8

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Unia Skierniewice	34	21	5	8	69:45	68
2	Warta Poznan	34	17	13	4	57:37	64
3	Ol. Grudziadz	34	18	10	6	69:42	64
4	Podbeskidzie	34	17	7	10	64:43	58
5	Slask Wroclaw II	34	16	7	11	65:49	55
6	Sandecja Nowy S.	34	14	13	7	54:40	55
7	Podhale Nowy Targ	34	13	14	7	46:35	53
8	Chojniczanka	34	14	10	10	58:47	52
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	34	12	10	12	45:48	46
10	Stal Stalowa Wola	34	10	16	8	56:43	46
11	Hutnik Krakow	34	12	10	12	47:40	46
12	Swit Szczecin	34	12	8	14	51:59	44
13	R. Rzeszow	34	10	12	12	48:47	42
14	Kleczew	34	10	7	17	47:62	37
15	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	34	9	7	18	37:61	34
16	KKS Kalisz	34	8	10	16	37:55	34
17	LKS Lodz II	34	5	10	19	33:64	25
18	GKS Jastrzebie	34	0	7	27	18:84	6