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Stadium Background

Stal Stalowa Wola vs Zawisza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Jelen J.
Assist: Furtak L.
24'
Staniak M.
29'
Stepien M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Stal Stalowa Wola and Zawisza finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Stal Stalowa Wola
35%
Draws
19%
Zawisza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stal Stalowa Wola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zawisza come out ahead of Stal Stalowa Wola on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Stal Stalowa Wola Clean Sheet 10%
Zawisza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Stalowa Wola Zawisza
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.52 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Division 2
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Zawisza
3:3
Sep 16, 2015 Polish Cup
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Zawisza
1:2
May 12, 2007 Division 1
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Zawisza
3:0
Oct 6, 2006 Division 1
Zawisza vs Stal Stalowa Wola
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Stalowa Wola Compare

Top Goalscorer Jelen J.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Zawisza Compare

Top Goalscorer Staniak M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rak S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Stalowa Wola 30 / 100
Zawisza 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Stalowa Wola Zawisza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Stal Stalowa Wola scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Zawisza conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Stal Stalowa Wola stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stal Stalowa Wola VS Zawisza
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Stalowa Wola

(Home)
10 Oct
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 2
Slask Wroclaw II
04 Oct
Pruszkow
4 : 2
Stal Stalowa Wola
20 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 0
R. Rzeszow
12 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
5 : 0
Stal Stalowa Wola
04 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 3
Zawisza
Page 1 of 6

Zawisza

(Away)
11 Oct
Zawisza
0 : 1
Pruszkow
04 Oct
Zawisza
1 : 2
Ol. Grudziadz
18 Sept
Zawisza
0 : 0
Leczna
12 Sept
Hutnik Krakow
1 : 1
Zawisza
04 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 3
Zawisza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pruszkow 10 7 2 1 23:12 23
2 Tychy 11 6 5 0 17:6 23
3 Leczna 11 6 2 3 21:13 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 5 3 3 22:20 18
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Zawisza 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
7 Sandecja Nowy S. 11 4 4 3 15:12 16
8 Hutnik Krakow 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
9 Zielona Gora 11 4 3 4 20:18 15
10 Chojniczanka 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 Ol. Grudziadz 10 4 3 3 13:16 15
12 Avia Swidnik 11 4 2 5 14:17 14
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 11 4 1 6 19:23 13
14 Legia II 10 4 0 6 20:17 12
15 Slask Wroclaw II 10 3 0 7 17:20 9
16 Kleczew 10 1 5 4 11:23 8
17 Swit Szczecin 11 2 2 7 11:25 8
18 R. Rzeszow 10 0 4 6 7:19 4
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)