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Stallion vs Don Bosco Garelli

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Vasquez A.
25' Event
McDaniel G.
59' Event
McDaniel G.

AI Match Summary

The PFL 2025/2026 game between Stallion and Don Bosco Garelli finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stallion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Stallion
30%
Draws
47%
Don Bosco Garelli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Don Bosco Garelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Stallion's 2.27 goals per match outpaces what Don Bosco Garelli have produced (1.9).
  • Don Bosco Garelli are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Stallion here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Stallion Clean Sheet 10%
Don Bosco Garelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stallion Don Bosco Garelli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 1
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 2.27 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.3 4.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 3.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 PFL
Stallion vs Don Bosco Garelli
4:0
Nov 22, 2025 PFL
Don Bosco Garelli vs Stallion
0:8
Apr 7, 2024 PFL
Don Bosco Garelli vs Stallion
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stallion Compare

Top Goalscorer McDaniel G.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Vasquez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Don Bosco Garelli Compare

Avg xG / game 2.86
Avg xA / game 1.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stallion 10 / 100
Don Bosco Garelli 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stallion Don Bosco Garelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Don Bosco Garelli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Don Bosco Garelli conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Stallion scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Stallion went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stallion VS Don Bosco Garelli
2.63 Goals Scored 4.43
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.14
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Stallion

(Home)
27 Sept
Stallion
0 : 2
Maharlika Manila
20 Sept
Stallion
0 : 3
Manila Digger
12 Sept
Stallion
4 : 0
Azkals
30 May
Stallion
2 : 2
Davao Aguilas
27 May
Stallion
1 : 1
Cebu FC
Page 1 of 6

Don Bosco Garelli

(Away)
24 May
Maharlika Manila
3 : 2
Don Bosco Garelli
20 May
Don Bosco Garelli
8 : 1
Philippine Army
10 May
Tuloy
2 : 4
Don Bosco Garelli
06 May
Don Bosco Garelli
3 : 3
Mendiola FC 1991
25 Apr
Don Bosco Garelli
9 : 1
Philippine Army
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manila Digger 20 17 3 0 103:13 54
2 Taguig 20 17 1 2 84:9 52
3 Cebu FC 20 13 3 4 70:21 42
4 Kaya FC 20 13 2 5 68:13 41
5 Stallion 20 9 6 5 58:22 33
6 Davao Aguilas 20 10 2 8 45:28 32
7 Maharlika Manila 20 9 2 9 43:35 29
8 Don Bosco Garelli 20 5 0 15 32:74 15
9 Tuloy 20 3 2 15 27:119 11
10 Mendiola FC 1991 20 2 1 17 13:99 7
11 Philippine Army 20 0 2 18 14:124 2
Promotion - PFL 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL 2025/2026 (Placement Group)