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Stambolovo vs Arda

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2009/2010 game between Stambolovo and Arda finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Stambolovo
15%
Draws
85%
Arda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Arda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Arda's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Stambolovo Clean Sheet 19%
Arda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stambolovo Arda
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 1 16
Draws 0 6
Losses 29 11
Goals Scored 0.17 1.64
Goals Conceded 2.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2011 Third League - South-East
Arda vs Stambolovo
3:0
Oct 3, 2010 Third League - South-East
Stambolovo vs Arda
1:2
Apr 7, 2010 Third League - South-East
Stambolovo vs Arda
1:3
Oct 4, 2009 Third League - South-East
Arda vs Stambolovo
0:0
May 3, 2009 Third League - South-East
Stambolovo vs Arda
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stambolovo 10 / 100
Arda 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stambolovo Arda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arda has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Stambolovo scored in 17% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Arda registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arda
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stambolovo

(Home)
05 Jun
Stambolovo
0 : 3
Levski Karlovo
29 May
Asenovets
3 : 0
Stambolovo
22 May
Stambolovo
0 : 3
Neftochimic Burgas
18 May
Rozova Dolina
3 : 0
Stambolovo
15 May
Stambolovo
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
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Arda

(Away)
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1
Arda
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