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Stamford vs Banbury

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Burgess J.
58' Event
Tonge K.
67' Event
Lobjoit L.

AI Match Summary

Stamford in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stamford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Stamford
20%
Draws
80%
Banbury
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Banbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Stamford average 0.93 goals a game right now, well clear of Banbury's 0.86.
  • Model gives Banbury a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Stamford Clean Sheet 11%
Banbury Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stamford Banbury
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.93 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Banbury
4:0
Nov 29, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Banbury vs Stamford
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Banbury
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Banbury vs Stamford
1:0
Apr 7, 2007 Southern Premier League
Banbury vs Stamford
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stamford Compare

Top Goalscorer Burgess J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tonge K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Banbury Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stamford 10 / 100
Banbury 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stamford Banbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Banbury Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Banbury's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Stamford's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Banbury's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Stamford VS Banbury
0.25 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stamford

(Home)
26 Sept
Stamford
1 : 2
Loughborough Students
19 Sept
Stamford
0 : 3
Stortford
12 Sept
Alvechurch
4 : 0
Stamford
05 Sept
Stamford
0 : 1
Mickleover
31 Aug
Kettering
5 : 0
Stamford
Page 1 of 6

Banbury

(Away)
26 Sept
Peterborough Sports
1 : 3
Banbury
22 Sept
Worcester
0 : 0
Banbury
12 Sept
Banbury
1 : 2
Leiston
09 Sept
Exmouth Town
2 : 1
Banbury
05 Sept
Banbury
0 : 0
Exmouth Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)