Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stamford vs Long Eaton Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Duffy J.
90' Event
Atwal G.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 game between Stamford and Long Eaton finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stamford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Stamford
15%
Draws
85%
Long Eaton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Long Eaton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Long Eaton haven't matched Stamford's recent run of results.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Stamford Clean Sheet 18%
Long Eaton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stamford Long Eaton
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.93 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Long Eaton
2:0
Nov 18, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Long Eaton vs Stamford
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stamford Compare

Top Goalscorer Duffy J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Long Eaton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stamford 32 / 100
Long Eaton 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stamford Long Eaton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Long Eaton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Long Eaton conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Long Eaton has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Stamford scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Stamford VS Long Eaton
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Stamford

(Home)
29 Sept
Needham Market
4 : 0
Stamford
26 Sept
Stamford
1 : 2
Loughborough Students
19 Sept
Stamford
0 : 3
Stortford
12 Sept
Alvechurch
4 : 0
Stamford
05 Sept
Stamford
0 : 1
Mickleover
Page 1 of 6

Long Eaton

(Away)
11 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 2
Redditch
06 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Carlton Town
30 Aug
Long Eaton
1 : 4
Kettering
26 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Rushall
31 Aug
Newcastle Town
2 : 1
Long Eaton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Needham Market 40 26 7 7 74:34 85
2 Telford 40 24 10 6 69:34 82
3 Leamington 40 19 14 7 61:32 71
4 Redditch 40 21 7 12 65:52 70
5 Mickleover 40 25 6 9 77:43 69
6 Stratford 40 21 6 13 69:57 69
7 Stamford 40 19 9 12 80:58 66
8 Halesowen 40 18 8 14 54:50 62
9 St Ives Town 40 18 4 18 87:72 58
10 Royston Town 40 17 6 17 63:61 57
11 Coalville Town 40 15 10 15 68:57 55
12 Stourbridge 40 14 10 16 52:50 52
13 Leiston 40 14 10 16 56:71 52
14 Barwell 40 13 12 15 64:65 51
15 Kettering 40 13 9 18 49:74 48
16 Alvechurch 40 12 9 19 49:70 45
17 Bromsgrove 40 12 8 20 44:51 44
18 Sudbury 40 10 10 20 53:62 40
19 Hitchin 40 11 6 23 46:64 39
20 Long Eaton 40 5 7 28 39:109 22
21 Berkhamsted Town 40 3 12 25 31:84 21
22 Nuneaton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 (Play Offs)