Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stamford vs Stortford Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bartle C.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between Stamford and Stortford finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stamford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Stamford
15%
Draws
85%
Stortford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stortford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Stamford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Stortford a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Stamford Clean Sheet 10%
Stortford Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stamford Stortford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Stortford
0:3
Mar 28, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Stortford
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stortford vs Stamford
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Stortford
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stortford vs Stamford
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stamford Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartle C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Stortford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stamford 10 / 100
Stortford 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stamford Stortford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stortford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stortford has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Stortford lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Stamford scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stamford VS Stortford
0.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stamford

(Home)
29 Sept
Needham Market
4 : 0
Stamford
26 Sept
Stamford
1 : 2
Loughborough Students
19 Sept
Stamford
0 : 3
Stortford
12 Sept
Alvechurch
4 : 0
Stamford
05 Sept
Stamford
0 : 1
Mickleover
Page 1 of 6

Stortford

(Away)
29 Sept
Stortford
1 : 2
Bury Town
26 Sept
Hanworth Villa
3 : 2
Stortford
19 Sept
Stamford
0 : 3
Stortford
12 Sept
Stortford
3 : 1
Leamington
05 Sept
Stortford
2 : 3
Berkhamsted Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)