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Standard Sumqayit vs FK Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup 2009/2010 ASK Arena
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AI Match Summary

The Azerbaijan Cup 2009/2010 game between Standard Sumqayit and FK Baku finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Standard Sumqayit
28%
Draws
22%
FK Baku
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Standard Sumqayit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • FK Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Standard Sumqayit a 50% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Azerbaijan Cup 2009/2010 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Standard Sumqayit Clean Sheet 20%
FK Baku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Standard Sumqayit FK Baku
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2010 Azerbaijan Cup
Standard Sumqayit vs FK Baku
1:3
Mar 6, 2010 Azerbaijan Cup
FK Baku vs Standard Sumqayit
1:1
Dec 5, 2009 Premier League
Standard Sumqayit vs FK Baku
3:4
Sep 23, 2009 Premier League
FK Baku vs Standard Sumqayit
0:0
Apr 11, 2009 Premier League
Standard Sumqayit vs FK Baku
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Standard Sumqayit 49 / 100
FK Baku 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Standard Sumqayit FK Baku

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Standard Sumqayit's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: FK Baku conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Standard Sumqayit has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Baku
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
FK Baku-
TBD-
Imisli FK2
Bakili Baku5
Turan-
TBD-
TBD-
Standard Sumqayit-
Neftci Baku-
TBD-
MOIK Baku2
Lokbatan3
Karvan-
TBD-
TBD-
Shamakhi-
Shuvalan-
TBD-
TBD-
Gabala-
Kapaz3
Ravan1
TBD-
Zaqatala PFK-
Qarabag Agdam-
TBD-
ANSAD Neftcala3
Sahdag Qusar4
Salyan-
TBD-
TBD-
Khazar Lenkoran-
1/8-finals
FK Baku6
Bakili Baku0
Turan1
Standard Sumqayit3
Neftci Baku7
Lokbatan0
Karvan2
Shamakhi7
Shuvalan2
Gabala1
Kapaz0
Zaqatala PFK3
Qarabag Agdam4
Sahdag Qusar0
Salyan1
Khazar Lenkoran4
Quarter-finals
FK Baku4
Standard Sumqayit2
Neftci Baku1
Shamakhi5
Shuvalan1
Zaqatala PFK0
Qarabag Agdam2
Khazar Lenkoran2
Semi-finals
FK Baku3
Shamakhi2
Shuvalan2
Khazar Lenkoran3
Final
FK Baku2
Khazar Lenkoran1