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Standard Sumqayit vs Karvan Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2009/2010 ASK Arena, Baku
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2009/2010 game between Standard Sumqayit and Karvan finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Standard Sumqayit.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Standard Sumqayit
20%
Draws
40%
Karvan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Karvan haven't matched Standard Sumqayit's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Standard Sumqayit taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Standard Sumqayit have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Standard Sumqayit Clean Sheet 20%
Karvan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Standard Sumqayit Karvan
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2010 Premier League
Standard Sumqayit vs Karvan
6:0
Apr 4, 2010 Premier League
Karvan vs Standard Sumqayit
1:2
Dec 24, 2009 Premier League
Standard Sumqayit vs Karvan
1:0
Sep 26, 2009 Premier League
Karvan vs Standard Sumqayit
2:2
Mar 8, 2009 Premier League
Standard Sumqayit vs Karvan
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Standard Sumqayit 76 / 100
Karvan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Standard Sumqayit Karvan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Standard Sumqayit Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karvan has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Standard Sumqayit found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Standard Sumqayit stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Karvan
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Standard Sumqayit

(Home)
16 May
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 4
Standard Sumqayit
09 May
Standard Sumqayit
6 : 0
Karvan
01 May
Standard Sumqayit
0 : 2
Salyan
23 Apr
Turan
0 : 0
Standard Sumqayit
18 Apr
Standard Sumqayit
0 : 1
Shuvalan
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Karvan

(Away)
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 3
Karvan
24 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Karvan
15 May
Karvan
1 : 2
Gabala
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