Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stanles Pinsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Osipenko D.
(Penalty)
90'
Sholomitskiy A.
90'
Sholomitskiy A.

AI Match Summary

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk in this Belarusian Cup 2020/2021 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Stanles Pinsk
6%
Draws
90%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stanles Pinsk lately — more wins on the board than Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.
  • Model gives Arsenal Dzerzhinsk a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Stanles Pinsk have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Arsenal Dzerzhinsk, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Stanles Pinsk Clean Sheet 10%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stanles Pinsk Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 4 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2020 Belarusian Cup
Stanles Pinsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stanles Pinsk 10 / 100
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stanles Pinsk Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stanles Pinsk's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Stanles Pinsk VS Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 Goals Scored 2.13
4 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stanles Pinsk

(Home)
28 May
Stanles Pinsk
1 : 4
Krumkachy
22 May
Stanles Pinsk
0 : 3
Volna Pinsk
29 May
Stanles Pinsk
2 : 3
Molodechno
24 Jul
Dynamo Brest
5 : 2
Stanles Pinsk
21 Jun
Stanles Pinsk
1 : 2
BATE
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

(Away)
18 Jul
BumProm Gomel
0 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
12 Jul
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 3
Vitebsk
04 Jul
Neman
0 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
26 Jun
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 : 1
FC Gomel
21 Jun
BATE
2 : 3
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Pershiy Region0
Lokomotiv Gomel15
TBD-
Slutsk-
BGU Minsk0
FC Gomel5
TBD-
Shakhtyor Soligorsk-
Novaya Pripyat0
Volna Pinsk3
TBD-
Slavia Mozyr-
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi2
FC Slonim5
TBD-
Neman-
Polotsk1
Chimik Svetlogorsk3
TBD-
Rukh Brest-
Energetik-BGATU2
Ostrovets6
TBD-
FC Minsk-
Krumkachy-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
BumProm Gomel0
Dnepr Mogilev6
TBD-
Isloch Minsk-
Kronon Stolbtsy0
Mikashevichi6
TBD-
BATE-
Meliorator Zhitkovichi3
FK Lida0
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
Stroitel Kapyl1
Orsha3
TBD-
SKA-1938 Minsk-
FK Baranovici1
Smorgon0
TBD-
Vitebsk-
Osipovichi1
Sputnik3
TBD-
Belshina-
Gorki0
Oshmyany3
TBD-
Zhodino-
Spartak Shklov0
Naftan4
TBD-
FK Gorodeja-
Stanles Pinsk0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
TBD-
FK Smolevichi-
1/16-finals
Lokomotiv Gomel0
Slutsk2
FC Gomel1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk4
Volna Pinsk0
Slavia Mozyr4
FC Slonim1
Neman3
Chimik Svetlogorsk0
Rukh Brest3
Ostrovets0
FC Minsk3
Krumkachy2
Din. Minsk0
Dnepr Mogilev1
Isloch Minsk2
Mikashevichi0
BATE5
Meliorator Zhitkovichi0
Dynamo Brest3
Orsha1
SKA-1938 Minsk6
FK Baranovici0
Vitebsk6
Sputnik3
Belshina2
Oshmyany0
Zhodino5
Naftan0
FK Gorodeja2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk4
FK Smolevichi1
1/8-finals
Slutsk1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk4
Slavia Mozyr0
Neman2
Rukh Brest0
FC Minsk3
Krumkachy0
Isloch Minsk4
BATE4
Dynamo Brest2
SKA-1938 Minsk0
Vitebsk1
Sputnik1
Zhodino4
FK Gorodeja0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtyor Soligorsk4
Neman2
FC Minsk1
Isloch Minsk1
BATE5
Vitebsk3
Zhodino3
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
Semi-finals
Shakhtyor Soligorsk1
Isloch Minsk2
BATE5
Zhodino2
Final
Isloch Minsk1
BATE2