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Stanway Rovers vs Carshalton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Toussaint S.
29' Event
Jebb J.
(Penalty)
54' Event
Kandolo P.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Stanway Rovers and Carshalton finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carshalton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Stanway Rovers
20%
Draws
40%
Carshalton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Carshalton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Stanway Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stanway Rovers Carshalton
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Stanway Rovers vs Carshalton
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stanway Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Toussaint S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Carshalton Compare

Top Goalscorer Kandolo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stanway Rovers 29 / 100
Carshalton 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stanway Rovers Carshalton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stanway Rovers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carshalton has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Carshalton has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Stanway Rovers's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Stanway Rovers VS Carshalton
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Stanway Rovers

(Home)
07 Nov
Stanway Rovers
0 : 0
Whitehawk
03 Nov
Eastbourne Borough
1 : 0
Stanway Rovers
31 Oct
Leatherhead
7 : 2
Stanway Rovers
24 Oct
Stanway Rovers
3 : 0
Cheshunt
20 Oct
Ramsgate
2 : 0
Stanway Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Carshalton

(Away)
07 Nov
Carshalton
4 : 2
Cheshunt
31 Oct
Welling
4 : 0
Carshalton
24 Oct
Aveley
2 : 1
Carshalton
20 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
4 : 2
Carshalton
17 Oct
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 2
Carshalton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 16 12 1 3 45:18 37
2 Welling 17 12 1 4 36:18 37
3 Eastbourne Borough 16 11 1 4 31:18 34
4 Dartford 16 10 0 6 28:23 30
5 Lewes 17 9 3 5 26:22 30
6 Ramsgate 15 8 1 6 33:19 25
7 Carshalton 17 8 1 8 27:34 25
8 Leatherhead 14 7 3 4 28:21 24
9 St. Albans 13 7 2 4 25:19 23
10 Chatham 16 7 1 8 28:25 22
11 Wingate & Finchley 15 6 4 5 28:29 22
12 Burgess Hill 16 5 7 4 26:28 22
13 Whyteleafe 16 6 3 7 28:27 21
14 Dulwich Hamlet 17 6 3 8 29:33 21
15 Aveley 16 6 2 8 25:28 20
16 Maldon & Tiptree 18 6 2 10 26:40 20
17 Cray Wanderers 11 5 3 3 25:15 18
18 Cheshunt 16 4 6 6 19:27 18
19 Brentwood 15 5 1 9 25:28 16
20 Three Bridges 16 2 4 10 25:42 10
21 Whitehawk 17 1 5 11 16:39 8
22 Stanway Rovers 16 2 2 12 14:40 8
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)