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Stanway Rovers vs Carshalton

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Toussaint S.
29' Event
Jebb J.
(Penalty)
54' Event
Kandolo P.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Stanway Rovers and Carshalton finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carshalton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Stanway Rovers
20%
Draws
40%
Carshalton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Carshalton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Stanway Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stanway Rovers Carshalton
Matches Played 24 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.04 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Stanway Rovers vs Carshalton
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stanway Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Toussaint S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Carshalton Compare

Top Goalscorer Kandolo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stanway Rovers 29 / 100
Carshalton 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stanway Rovers Carshalton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stanway Rovers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carshalton has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Carshalton has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Stanway Rovers's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Stanway Rovers VS Carshalton
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stanway Rovers

(Home)
15 Sept
Brentwood
2 : 3
Stanway Rovers
12 Sept
Whyteleafe
4 : 0
Stanway Rovers
08 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 1
Stanway Rovers
05 Sept
Stanway Rovers
0 : 0
Needham Market
31 Aug
Stanway Rovers
0 : 2
Aveley
Page 1 of 5

Carshalton

(Away)
19 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
2 : 3
Carshalton
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Carshalton
0 : 3
Dartford
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2
Chertsey Town
05 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 1
Carshalton
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 8 6 0 2 23:11 18
2 Welling 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
3 Dartford 8 6 0 2 13:8 18
4 Carshalton 9 6 0 3 15:13 18
5 Lewes 9 5 1 3 14:11 16
6 Leatherhead 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
7 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
8 Ramsgate 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
9 Dulwich Hamlet 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
10 Eastbourne Borough 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
11 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
12 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
13 Aveley 8 3 1 4 16:14 10
14 Burgess Hill 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
15 Cray Wanderers 7 2 3 2 13:11 9
16 Maldon & Tiptree 8 3 0 5 12:21 9
17 Cheshunt 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
18 Brentwood 8 2 0 6 13:15 6
19 Whyteleafe 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
20 Whitehawk 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
21 Three Bridges 9 1 2 6 16:28 5
22 Stanway Rovers 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)