Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Staphorst vs ACV Assen

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Staphorst host ACV Assen in the Derde Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Staphorst at 1.57 goals for, 1.75 against; ACV Assen at 1.93 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Staphorst have won 1 to ACV Assen's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 11, 2023, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 2.13) point toward ACV Assen. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Staphorst
30%
Draws
51%
ACV Assen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ACV Assen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Staphorst haven't matched ACV Assen's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on ACV Assen taking it.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Staphorst Clean Sheet 10%
ACV Assen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Staphorst ACV Assen
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2023 Derde Divisie
ACV Assen vs Staphorst
1:1
Oct 4, 2022 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs ACV Assen
1:0
May 14, 2022 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs ACV Assen
1:3
Nov 20, 2021 Derde Divisie
ACV Assen vs Staphorst
2:1
May 1, 2021 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs ACV Assen
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Staphorst 10 / 100
ACV Assen 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Staphorst ACV Assen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACV Assen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Staphorst's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

ACV Assen let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Staphorst stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Staphorst VS ACV Assen
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Staphorst

(Home)
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1
Staphorst
05 Sept
Staphorst
1 : 2
Genemuiden
02 Sept
Staphorst
3 : 2
UNA
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0
Staphorst
22 Aug
Staphorst
2 : 4
Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6

ACV Assen

(Away)
12 Sept
ACV Assen
5 : 1
Eemdijk
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3
ACV Assen
02 Sept
ACV Assen
6 : 1
Westlandia
29 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
22 Aug
HVV Hollandia
0 : 2
ACV Assen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Genemuiden 5 5 0 0 14:3 15
2 ACV Assen 5 4 1 0 12:2 13
3 Harkemase Boys 5 4 1 0 11:6 13
4 VV Scherpenzeel 5 4 0 1 10:7 12
5 Excelsior 31 5 3 1 1 14:6 10
6 Sportlust 5 2 3 0 12:9 9
7 Purmersteijn 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
8 TEC 5 2 1 2 13:12 7
9 VV Hoogeveen 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
10 ADO 20 Heemskerk 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
11 Sparta Nijkerk 5 1 2 2 13:14 5
12 VV DOVO 5 1 2 2 8:11 5
13 Staphorst 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
14 Eemdijk 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
15 USV Hercules 5 1 0 4 6:16 3
16 DVS '33 Ermelo 5 0 2 3 7:11 2
17 HVV Hollandia 5 0 1 4 12:18 1
18 SVZW Wierden 5 0 1 4 8:18 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lisse 5 5 0 0 11:4 15
2 VV Noordwijk 5 4 1 0 9:0 13
3 Rijnvogels 5 3 2 0 15:6 11
4 RKSV UDI 19 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
5 SV Poortugaal 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
6 Dongen 5 3 0 2 14:12 9
7 Excelsior Maassluis 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 GOES 5 2 2 1 11:12 8
9 Roosendaal 5 2 0 3 7:6 6
10 Gemert 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
11 UNA 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
12 Blauw Geel 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Groene Ster 5 1 2 2 9:12 5
14 VVSB 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
15 VV Zwaluwen 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
16 Achilles Veen 5 1 0 4 6:16 3
17 TOGB 5 0 2 3 8:12 2
18 EVV 5 0 0 5 6:15 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)