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Staphorst vs Hardenberg

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Reinders T.
13' Event
Fatima S.
45' Event
Reinders T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Staphorst and Hardenberg finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hardenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Staphorst
35%
Draws
45%
Hardenberg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hardenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Hardenberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hardenberg have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Staphorst Clean Sheet 11%
Hardenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Staphorst Hardenberg
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Staphorst vs Hardenberg
0:4
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Staphorst vs Hardenberg
0:1
Aug 10, 2021 Club Friendly
Staphorst vs Hardenberg
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Staphorst Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Hardenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Reinders T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fatima S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Staphorst 35 / 100
Hardenberg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Staphorst Hardenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hardenberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hardenberg let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Staphorst's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Staphorst stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Staphorst VS Hardenberg
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Staphorst

(Home)
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1
Staphorst
05 Sept
Staphorst
1 : 2
Genemuiden
02 Sept
Staphorst
3 : 2
UNA
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0
Staphorst
22 Aug
Staphorst
2 : 4
Excelsior 31
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Hardenberg

(Away)
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
05 Sept
Hardenberg
2 : 2
De Treffers
29 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 3
Hardenberg
22 Aug
Hardenberg
2 : 1
Jong Almere City
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3
Hardenberg
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