Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
TEC in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored TEC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
20%
73%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TEC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to TEC lately — more wins on the board than Staphorst.
- Model gives TEC a 73% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Staphorst have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Staphorst Clean Sheet 10%
TEC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Staphorst | TEC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 3.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs TEC
0:3
Jan 24, 2026 Derde Divisie
TEC vs Staphorst
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs TEC
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Staphorst 10 / 100
TEC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Staphorst TEC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.33 goals.
Staphorst's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: TEC conceded in 76% of 34 recent games.
Staphorst went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Staphorst VS TEC
1.38 Goals Scored 4
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Staphorst
(Home) 03 Oct
Staphorst
0 : 3 TEC
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2 Staphorst
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3 Genemuiden
19 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3 ACV Assen
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1 Staphorst
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Staphorst
0 : 3 TEC
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3 Genemuiden
19 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3 ACV Assen
05 Sept
Staphorst
1 : 2 Genemuiden
02 Sept
Staphorst
3 : 2 UNA
Page 1 of 4
TEC
(Away) 03 Oct
Staphorst
0 : 3 TEC
26 Sept
TEC
7 : 2 Eemdijk
23 Sept
Watergraafsmeer
5 : 4 TEC
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4 DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Staphorst
0 : 3 TEC
23 Sept
Watergraafsmeer
5 : 4 TEC
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
06 Sept
HVV Hollandia
4 : 5 TEC
15 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 0 TEC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
