Sport Picks
Staphorst vs Watergraafsmeer
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 2023/2024 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-4, with Watergraafsmeer advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Staphorst come out ahead of Watergraafsmeer on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Staphorst's way, sitting at 42%.
- Staphorst have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Watergraafsmeer, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Staphorst | Watergraafsmeer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Staphorst Compare
Watergraafsmeer Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Staphorst found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (35 games).
Watergraafsmeer has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Staphorst has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
