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Star Starachowice vs Czarni Polaniec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Szynka A.
90'
Boniecki B.
90'
Boniecki B.

AI Match Summary

Star Starachowice in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Star Starachowice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Star Starachowice
35%
Draws
37%
Czarni Polaniec
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Czarni Polaniec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Czarni Polaniec have won more games recently than Star Starachowice.
  • Win probability leans Star Starachowice's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 16%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Star Starachowice Czarni Polaniec
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Czarni Polaniec
2:0
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Czarni Polaniec vs Star Starachowice
2:0
May 16, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Star Starachowice
2:1
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Czarni Polaniec
3:2
Apr 26, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Star Starachowice
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Star Starachowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Szynka A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karbownik J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Czarni Polaniec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Star Starachowice 57 / 100
Czarni Polaniec 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Star Starachowice Czarni Polaniec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Star Starachowice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Star Starachowice scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Czarni Polaniec has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Star Starachowice went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Star Starachowice VS Czarni Polaniec
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Star Starachowice

(Home)
01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2
Star Starachowice
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 0
Star Starachowice
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3
Wisloka Debica
04 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 0
Star Starachowice
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Czarni Polaniec

(Away)
03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
25 Sept
Wisla II
1 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5
Naprzod Jedrzejow
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2
Czarni Polaniec
05 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
3 : 0
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)