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Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Star Starachowice host Korona Kielce II in the III Liga - Group IV. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Korona Kielce II have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Star Starachowice have conceded 1.76 and scored 1.55. Head-to-head, Star Starachowice have won 3 to Korona Kielce II's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.75 - 1.50) back Star Starachowice to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Star Starachowice
35%
Draws
35%
Korona Kielce II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Korona Kielce II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 16%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Star Starachowice Korona Kielce II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Star Starachowice
3:2
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Korona Kielce II vs Star Starachowice
1:4
Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II
3:2
Jul 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Korona Kielce II vs Star Starachowice
1:3
Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Korona Kielce II
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Star Starachowice 30 / 100
Korona Kielce II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Star Starachowice Korona Kielce II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Star Starachowice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Korona Kielce II conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Star Starachowice scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Star Starachowice has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Star Starachowice VS Korona Kielce II
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Star Starachowice

(Home)
01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2
Star Starachowice
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 0
Star Starachowice
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3
Wisloka Debica
04 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 0
Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 6

Korona Kielce II

(Away)
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2
Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
19 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0
Korona Kielce II
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2
Kolbuszowa Dolna
05 Sept
Jaroslaw
6 : 2
Korona Kielce II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 11 8 3 0 18:5 27
2 Wisloka Debica 11 7 1 3 16:13 22
3 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
4 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
5 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
6 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 11 5 5 1 16:9 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
10 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
11 Busko-Zdroj 11 4 2 5 17:21 14
12 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
13 Biala Podlaska 11 3 3 5 10:13 12
14 Korona Kielce II 11 3 2 6 23:27 11
15 Star Starachowice 11 2 5 4 13:17 11
16 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 11 3 2 6 10:14 11
17 Moravia Morawica 11 2 2 7 13:22 8
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 11 2 1 8 11:21 7
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)