Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024

Star Starachowice

1 - 0

Orleta Radzyn

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Maidanevych O.

66'

Stanislawski S.

90'

Piotrowski B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024 game between Star Starachowice and Orleta Radzyn finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Star Starachowice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Star Starachowice

30%

Draws

34%

Orleta Radzyn

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Star Starachowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Star Starachowice come out ahead of Orleta Radzyn on wins alone.
Model gives Star Starachowice a 36% chance of winning this.
Regular III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 16%

Orleta Radzyn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Star Starachowice	Orleta Radzyn
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	15	8
Draws	6	8
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1.38	1
Goals Conceded	2	5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2024 III Liga - Group IV

Star Starachowice vs Orleta Radzyn

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Oct 21, 2023 III Liga - Group IV

Orleta Radzyn vs Star Starachowice

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Star Starachowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanislawski S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Orleta Radzyn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Star Starachowice 36 / 100

Orleta Radzyn 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Star Starachowice Orleta Radzyn

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orleta Radzyn let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Star Starachowice scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Star Starachowice went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Star Starachowice VS Orleta Radzyn

1.38 Goals Scored 1

2 Goals Conceded 5

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	KS Wieczysta Krakow	34	25	3	6	99:35	78
2	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	34	21	7	6	70:30	70
3	Star Starachowice	34	20	6	8	52:27	66
4	Avia Swidnik	34	17	6	11	60:41	57
5	Wislanie Skawina	34	16	6	12	56:40	54
6	Biala Podlaska	34	15	9	10	47:35	54
7	Chelmianka Chelm	34	15	6	13	61:58	51
8	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	14	7	13	48:44	49
9	Czarni Polaniec	34	13	9	12	58:54	48
10	Garbarnia	34	12	10	12	49:58	46
11	Wisloka Debica	34	12	9	13	41:53	45
12	Swidniczanka Swidnik	34	11	11	12	43:47	44
13	Wiazownica	34	12	7	15	55:73	43
14	Podhale Nowy Targ	34	9	12	13	38:40	39
15	Unia Tarnow	34	10	6	18	51:66	36
16	KS Karpaty Krosno	34	6	7	21	26:67	25
17	Orleta Radzyn	34	5	9	20	32:61	24
18	Sokol Sieniawa	34	7	2	25	38:95	23