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Stara Tura vs Castkovce

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stara Tura play Castkovce in the Slovak Cup 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stara Tura averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2 conceded. Castkovce averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Stara Tura won 0, Castkovce won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 24, 2016 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Stara Tura and 1.74 for Castkovce. This points to a Castkovce double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Stara Tura
29%
Draws
37%
Castkovce
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Castkovce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Stara Tura picked up more points recently compared to Castkovce.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.74 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%
Stara Tura Clean Sheet 12%
Castkovce Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stara Tura Castkovce
Matches Played 4 31
Wins 2 11
Draws 0 10
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.94
Goals Conceded 2 1.68

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2016 Slovak Cup
Stara Tura vs Castkovce
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stara Tura 33 / 100
Castkovce 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stara Tura Castkovce

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Castkovce or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stara Tura attacking → ← attacking Castkovce

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stara Tura scored in 75% of their last 4 games.

Castkovce let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Stara Tura went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Castkovce lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 43
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75