Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2017/2018

Gryfino

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Starogard Gdanski play Gryfino in the III Liga - Group II 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Starogard Gdanski averaged 1.06 goals scored and 2.72 conceded. Gryfino averaged 0.28 goals scored and 2.45 conceded. In past meetings, Starogard Gdanski won 1, Gryfino won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 16, 2018 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Starogard Gdanski and 2.19 for Gryfino. This points to a Starogard Gdanski double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Starogard Gdanski

18%

Draws

31%

Gryfino

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Starogard Gdanski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Starogard Gdanski picked up more points recently compared to Gryfino.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 2.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Starogard Gdanski Clean Sheet 10%

Gryfino Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Starogard Gdanski	Gryfino
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	2	2
Draws	7	4
Losses	23	23
Goals Scored	1.06	0.28
Goals Conceded	2.72	2.45

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2018 III Liga - Group II

Starogard Gdanski vs Gryfino

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 0 - 3

3:0

Nov 25, 2017 III Liga - Group II

Gryfino vs Starogard Gdanski

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Starogard Gdanski 48 / 100

Gryfino 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Starogard Gdanski Gryfino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Starogard Gdanski or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.4%

1.39

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Starogard Gdanski attacking → ← attacking Gryfino

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Starogard Gdanski scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Gryfino let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Starogard Gdanski went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gryfino lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 10

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

3.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Elana Torun	34	24	5	5	71:24	77
2	Swit Szczecin	34	23	4	7	70:27	73
3	B. Gdynia	34	22	3	9	74:36	69
4	Lech Poznan II	34	20	6	8	69:34	66
5	KKS Kalisz	34	19	6	9	52:33	63
6	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	34	17	9	8	63:41	60
7	Kleczew	34	17	8	9	52:32	59
8	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	34	17	6	11	48:37	57
9	Starogard Gdanski	34	15	6	13	46:32	51
10	Pogon Szczecin II	34	14	7	13	44:54	49
11	Jarocin	34	11	9	14	45:50	42
12	KS Wierzyca Pelplin	34	12	6	16	38:47	42
13	Wda Swiecie	34	10	5	19	52:72	35
14	Gornik Konin	34	9	7	18	40:61	34
15	Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski	34	9	5	20	38:67	32
16	Przodkowo	34	7	4	23	38:75	25
17	Unia Solec Kujawski	34	4	7	23	33:80	19
18	Gryfino	34	2	5	27	9:80	11