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Starogard Gdanski vs Pomorzanin Torun

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
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Match Events

12' Event
Moskiewicz P.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Starogard Gdanski and Pomorzanin Torun finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Starogard Gdanski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Starogard Gdanski
28%
Draws
50%
Pomorzanin Torun
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Pomorzanin Torun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Pomorzanin Torun carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pomorzanin Torun's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Starogard Gdanski Clean Sheet 10%
Pomorzanin Torun Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Starogard Gdanski Pomorzanin Torun
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 25 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 3.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Pomorzanin Torun
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Starogard Gdanski Compare

Top Goalscorer Moskiewicz P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Pomorzanin Torun Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Starogard Gdanski 22 / 100
Pomorzanin Torun 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Starogard Gdanski Pomorzanin Torun

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Starogard Gdanski found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (37 games).

Pomorzanin Torun let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Pomorzanin Torun registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Starogard Gdanski VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
3.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stezyca21181269:1255
2Swit Szczecin21155146:1250
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol21145247:2047
4Elana Torun21106541:2036
5Starogard Gdanski21113729:2936
6Przodkowo21105636:2335
7B. Gdynia2197531:2134
8Pogon Szczecin II21104748:3934
9Kotwica Kolobrzeg2188532:2432
10Kleczew2193933:3230
11Jarocin2185843:3329
12Baltyk Koszalin2185842:3629
13Unia Janikowo2185832:3829
14Nielba Wagrowiec2175939:3726
15Pomorzanin Torun2168720:2226
16Unia Swarzedz21741031:2525
17Gwardia Koszalin21741026:3325
18Swinoujscie2167824:3525
19Gryf Wejherowo21631231:4921
20Chemik Police21231610:639
21Gornik Konin21221714:548
22KS Mieszko Gniezno2102199:762