Sport Picks
Start vs Lillestrom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Norway
Eliteserien Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand 
AI Match Summary
Start host Lillestrom in the Eliteserien. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Start have averaged 1.3 scored and 2.23 conceded recently, against Lillestrom's 1.59 scored and 1.28 conceded. Past meetings favor Lillestrom slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.56 - 2.19) back Lillestrom to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Start haven't matched Lillestrom's recent run of results.
- Model gives Lillestrom a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Lillestrom here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Start | Lillestrom |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Start's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Lillestrom's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.
Start went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Start
(Home)Lillestrom
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 58:20 | 56 |
| 2 | Viking | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 59:22 | 56 |
| 3 | Molde | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 52:35 | 40 |
| 4 | Tromso | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 42:31 | 40 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 43:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 32:31 | 36 |
| 7 | Brann | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 40:37 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28:36 | 29 |
| 9 | KFUM Oslo | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28:37 | 29 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:34 | 28 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 38:46 | 26 |
| 12 | Ham-Kam | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 33:48 | 26 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22:30 | 24 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 39:51 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23:47 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 25:54 | 16 |
