Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Start vs Molde

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Cornelius J.
24'
Toure O.
46'
Sub
Kone-Doherty T. In: Hestad E.
Out: Kone-Doherty T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Start
6%
Draws
90%
Molde
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Molde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Molde lately — more wins on the board than Start.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Molde taking it.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • Molde have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Start Clean Sheet 10%
Molde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Start Molde
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Eliteserien
Start vs Molde
1:1
Aug 5, 2020 Eliteserien
Molde vs Start
5:0
Jun 24, 2020 Eliteserien
Start vs Molde
2:3
Oct 29, 2018 Eliteserien
Start vs Molde
1:3
May 27, 2018 Eliteserien
Molde vs Start
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Start Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornelius J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Molde Compare

Top Goalscorer Breivik E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Start 10 / 100
Molde 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Start Molde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Start scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Molde has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Start remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Start VS Molde
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Start

(Home)
01 Aug
Start
0 : 3
Viking
25 Jul
Kristiansund
1 : 2
Start
18 Jul
Start
0 : 3
Rosenborg
12 Jul
Brann
2 : 1
Start
04 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0
Start
Page 1 of 6

Molde

(Away)
02 Aug
Molde
3 : 3
Sarpsborg 08
26 Jul
KFUM Oslo
2 : 4
Molde
18 Jul
Molde
1 : 2
Brann
11 Jul
Aalesund
2 : 2
Molde
05 Jul
Rosenborg
2 : 1
Molde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 16 12 2 2 41:11 38
2 Viking 15 12 1 2 37:14 37
3 Tromso 16 10 4 2 32:17 34
4 Lillestrom 15 8 1 6 22:18 25
5 Molde 15 7 3 5 28:22 24
6 Brann 16 7 1 8 33:27 22
7 Sarpsborg 08 15 6 4 5 18:19 22
8 Ham-Kam 15 6 3 6 23:26 21
9 Valerenga 15 6 2 7 22:27 20
10 Rosenborg 15 5 3 7 21:21 18
11 Fredrikstad 15 5 2 8 16:27 17
12 Sandefjord 15 4 3 8 13:21 15
13 KFUM Oslo 15 4 3 8 17:26 15
14 Aalesund 15 2 7 6 21:35 13
15 Kristiansund 15 3 3 9 13:25 12
16 Start 16 2 4 10 16:37 10
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)