Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Start vs Rosenborg

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Chiakha A.
(Penalty)
37'
Karadas A.
46'
Sub
Ugland M. In: Schulze E.
Out: Ugland M.

AI Match Summary

Rosenborg in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rosenborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Start
15%
Draws
42%
Rosenborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Start

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Rosenborg have won more games recently than Start.
  • Rosenborg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rosenborg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Start Clean Sheet 10%
Rosenborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Start Rosenborg
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.27 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Eliteserien
Start vs Rosenborg
0:3
Feb 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Rosenborg vs Start
2:1
Nov 1, 2020 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Start
1:0
Jul 16, 2020 Eliteserien
Start vs Rosenborg
0:0
Nov 11, 2018 Eliteserien
Start vs Rosenborg
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Start Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Rosenborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Nordli S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chiakha A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Start 10 / 100
Rosenborg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Start Rosenborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosenborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Start scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Rosenborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Start stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Start VS Rosenborg
1.63 Goals Scored 3.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Start

(Home)
16 Sept
Vindbjart
2 : 3
Start
13 Sept
Start
2 : 0
Brann
04 Sept
Aalesund
2 : 0
Start
30 Aug
Start
4 : 1
KFUM Oslo
22 Aug
Flekkefjord
1 : 2
Start
Page 1 of 6

Rosenborg

(Away)
16 Sept
Floya
1 : 4
Rosenborg
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3
Tromso
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Ham-Kam
30 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 2
Rosenborg
22 Aug
Nationalkameratene
0 : 9
Rosenborg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 20 16 2 2 52:17 50
2 Viking 20 15 2 3 51:20 47
3 Molde 20 11 3 6 43:30 36
4 Tromso 20 10 5 5 37:27 35
5 Lillestrom 20 10 2 8 28:26 32
6 Rosenborg 20 9 3 8 36:29 30
7 Fredrikstad 20 8 3 9 24:31 27
8 Brann 20 8 2 10 37:31 26
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Ham-Kam 20 6 5 9 27:41 23
12 Valerenga 20 6 4 10 33:42 22
13 Sandefjord 20 5 5 10 18:27 20
14 Kristiansund 20 5 4 11 20:37 19
15 Aalesund 20 3 9 8 31:45 18
16 Start 20 4 4 12 22:41 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)