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Start vs Sandefjord - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Start host Sandefjord in the Eliteserien. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Start at 1.29 goals for, 2.04 against; Sandefjord at 1.64 for, 1.18 against. Head-to-head, Start have won 1 to Sandefjord's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 2.19) point toward Sandefjord. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Start
20%
Draws
32%
Sandefjord
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Start

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sandefjord come out ahead of Start on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Start taking it.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Start Clean Sheet 10%
Sandefjord Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Start Sandefjord
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.64
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Start
3:0
Mar 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Sandefjord vs Start
3:2
Mar 5, 2023 Club Friendly
Start vs Sandefjord
1:0
May 2, 2021 Club Friendly
Start vs Sandefjord
1:1
Mar 27, 2021 Club Friendly
Start vs Sandefjord
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Start 40 / 100
Sandefjord 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Start Sandefjord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Start's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sandefjord's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Start went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Start VS Sandefjord
1.63 Goals Scored 3
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Start

(Home)
06 Oct
Raufoss
1 : 5
Start
02 Oct
Start
2 : 1
Brann
20 Sept
Sandefjord
3 : 0
Start
16 Sept
Vindbjart
2 : 3
Start
13 Sept
Start
2 : 0
Brann
Page 1 of 6

Sandefjord

(Away)
10 Oct
Rosenborg
1 : 1
Sandefjord
30 Sept
Flint
0 : 1
Sandefjord
20 Sept
Sandefjord
3 : 0
Start
14 Sept
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2
Sandefjord
04 Sept
Sandefjord
1 : 1
Viking
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 22 17 2 3 56:20 53
2 Bodo/Glimt 22 17 2 3 56:20 53
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 22 10 4 8 40:31 34
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 22 9 2 11 39:34 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 22 6 6 10 22:28 24
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 22 5 4 13 22:43 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)