Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Start vs Tromso

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Ugland M.
26'
Karadas A.
33' Event
Hjerto-Dahl J.
Assist: Guddal T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Start
15%
Draws
64%
Tromso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tromso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / Very High Confidence
  • Start haven't matched Tromso's recent run of results.
  • Tromso are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Start Clean Sheet 10%
Tromso Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Start Tromso
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Eliteserien
Start vs Tromso
1:1
Mar 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Tromso vs Start
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 NM Cup
Start vs Tromso
1:2
Oct 21, 2018 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Start
1:2
Mar 11, 2018 Eliteserien
Start vs Tromso
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Start Compare

Top Goalscorer Segberg E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Tromso Compare

Top Goalscorer Hjerto-Dahl J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Start 10 / 100
Tromso 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Start Tromso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Start scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Tromso conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Start went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Start VS Tromso
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Start

(Home)
01 Aug
Start
0 : 3
Viking
25 Jul
Kristiansund
1 : 2
Start
18 Jul
Start
0 : 3
Rosenborg
12 Jul
Brann
2 : 1
Start
04 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0
Start
Page 1 of 6

Tromso

(Away)
06 Aug
CFR Cluj
0 : 5
Tromso
02 Aug
Aalesund
2 : 6
Tromso
30 Jul
Hradec Kralove
3 : 1
Tromso
23 Jul
Tromso
0 : 1
Hradec Kralove
18 Jul
Ham-Kam
1 : 4
Tromso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 16 12 2 2 41:11 38
2 Viking 15 12 1 2 37:14 37
3 Tromso 16 10 4 2 32:17 34
4 Lillestrom 15 8 1 6 22:18 25
5 Molde 15 7 3 5 28:22 24
6 Brann 16 7 1 8 33:27 22
7 Sarpsborg 08 15 6 4 5 18:19 22
8 Ham-Kam 15 6 3 6 23:26 21
9 Valerenga 15 6 2 7 22:27 20
10 Rosenborg 15 5 3 7 21:21 18
11 KFUM Oslo 16 5 3 8 18:26 18
12 Fredrikstad 15 5 2 8 16:27 17
13 Sandefjord 16 4 3 9 13:22 15
14 Aalesund 15 2 7 6 21:35 13
15 Kristiansund 15 3 3 9 13:25 12
16 Start 16 2 4 10 16:37 10
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)