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Start Warlubie vs Jarocin Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2015/2016
Start Warlubie Logo

Start Warlubie

1 - 1
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Jarocin Logo

Jarocin

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 game between Start Warlubie and Jarocin finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Start Warlubie
15%
Draws
64%
Jarocin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jarocin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jarocin come out ahead of Start Warlubie on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Jarocin taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Start Warlubie Clean Sheet 20%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Start Warlubie Jarocin
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.33 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Start Warlubie vs Jarocin
1:1
Sep 12, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Start Warlubie
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Start Warlubie 10 / 100
Jarocin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Start Warlubie Jarocin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jarocin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jarocin conceded in 83% of 41 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Start Warlubie scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Start Warlubie has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jarocin
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Start Warlubie

(Home)
04 Jun
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 0
Start Warlubie
28 May
Start Warlubie
0 : 3
Elana Torun
21 May
Lech Poznan II
5 : 0
Start Warlubie
14 May
Start Warlubie
2 : 0
KKS Kalisz
07 May
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 1
Start Warlubie
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Jarocin

(Away)
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
24 Jul
Jarocin
0 : 8
Barycz Sulow
17 Jun
Jarocin
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0
Jarocin
03 Jun
Jarocin
3 : 0
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Warta Poznan 30 18 8 4 57:24 62
2 Pelikan Niechanowo 30 19 5 6 60:28 62
3 Lech Poznan II 30 17 9 4 69:23 60
4 Kleczew 30 15 8 7 63:30 53
5 Jarocin 30 14 9 7 47:27 51
6 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 30 15 6 9 45:28 51
7 Wda Swiecie 30 14 7 9 37:37 49
8 KKS Kalisz 30 13 6 11 41:41 45
9 Elana Torun 30 13 5 12 51:41 44
10 Unia Swarzedz 30 10 8 12 39:55 38
11 Start Warlubie 30 9 8 13 40:45 35
12 Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski 30 9 4 17 39:67 31
13 Ostrovia Ostrow 30 8 5 17 36:48 29
14 Nielba Wagrowiec 30 6 5 19 32:68 23
15 Sparta Brodnica 30 4 10 16 26:55 22
16 Kujawianka 30 3 3 24 26:91 12
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)