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Staten Island ASC vs Hudson Valley

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2025 game between Staten Island ASC and Hudson Valley finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hudson Valley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Staten Island ASC
30%
Draws
47%
Hudson Valley
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hudson Valley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hudson Valley come out ahead of Staten Island ASC on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Hudson Valley taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Hudson Valley here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Staten Island ASC Clean Sheet 10%
Hudson Valley Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Staten Island ASC Hudson Valley
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.17 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 USL League Two
Hudson Valley vs Staten Island ASC
3:2
Jul 5, 2025 USL League Two
Staten Island ASC vs Hudson Valley
1:2
May 22, 2024 USL League Two
Hudson Valley vs Staten Island ASC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Staten Island ASC 10 / 100
Hudson Valley 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Staten Island ASC Hudson Valley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hudson Valley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hudson Valley conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Staten Island ASC's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Staten Island ASC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Staten Island ASC VS Hudson Valley
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Staten Island ASC

(Home)
11 Jul
Staten Island ASC
2 : 2
Morris Elite
05 Jul
Ironbound SC
3 : 0
Staten Island ASC
01 Jul
Staten Island ASC
3 : 2
New Jersey Copa
27 Jun
Staten Island ASC
0 : 6
Long Island
16 Jun
New Jersey Copa
2 : 1
Staten Island ASC
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Hudson Valley

(Away)
11 Jul
Hudson Valley
2 : 2
Cedar Stars Rush
07 Jul
Hudson Valley
0 : 5
Motown 2
02 Jul
Hudson Valley
1 : 1
Manhattan
27 Jun
Hudson Valley
4 : 3
Morris Elite
24 Jun
Westchester Flames
0 : 3
Hudson Valley
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