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Staten Island ASC vs Hudson Valley

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Staten Island ASC play Hudson Valley in the USL League Two 2025. Hudson Valley are favorites here. Recently, Staten Island ASC averaged 1.14 goals scored and 2.21 conceded. Hudson Valley averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Staten Island ASC won 0, Hudson Valley won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 13, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Staten Island ASC and 2.69 for Hudson Valley. This points to a Hudson Valley double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Staten Island ASC
15%
Draws
62%
Hudson Valley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hudson Valley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Staten Island ASC picked up more points recently compared to Hudson Valley.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 2.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Staten Island ASC Clean Sheet 10%
Hudson Valley Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Staten Island ASC Hudson Valley
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 1.14 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 USL League Two
Hudson Valley vs Staten Island ASC
3:2
Jul 5, 2025 USL League Two
Staten Island ASC vs Hudson Valley
1:2
May 22, 2024 USL League Two
Hudson Valley vs Staten Island ASC
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Staten Island ASC 23 / 100
Hudson Valley 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Staten Island ASC Hudson Valley

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hudson Valley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Hudson Valley & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Staten Island ASC attacking → ← attacking Hudson Valley

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Staten Island ASC scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Hudson Valley let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Staten Island ASC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Hudson Valley lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 52
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13