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Stauceni vs Falesti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stauceni host Falesti in the Liga 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Stauceni at 2 goals for, 1.6 against; Falesti at 1.2 for, 2.27 against. Head-to-head, Stauceni have won 5 to Falesti's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.56 - 1.31) back Stauceni to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Stauceni
15%
Draws
26%
Falesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stauceni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stauceni come out ahead of Falesti on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Stauceni taking it.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Stauceni here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Stauceni Clean Sheet 18%
Falesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stauceni Falesti
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 2 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga 1
Falesti vs Stauceni
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Liga 1
Falesti vs Stauceni
3:7
Sep 27, 2025 Liga 1
Stauceni vs Falesti
4:0
Aug 16, 2025 Liga 1
Falesti vs Stauceni
0:2
May 7, 2025 Super Liga
Falesti vs Stauceni
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stauceni 85 / 100
Falesti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stauceni Falesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stauceni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stauceni found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Falesti has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Stauceni went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stauceni VS Falesti
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stauceni

(Home)
09 Oct
Oguzsport
2 : 2
Stauceni
18 Sept
Stauceni
4 : 1
Victoria
05 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 0
Stauceni
02 Sept
Stauceni
1 : 2
FC Chisinau
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
Page 1 of 6

Falesti

(Away)
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2
Oguzsport
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vulturii Cutezatori 8 6 1 1 27:14 19
2 Iskra Ribnita 8 6 0 2 22:8 18
3 FCM Ungheni 8 4 2 2 23:16 14
4 Univer Comrat 8 2 3 3 17:17 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 8 2 1 5 14:20 7
6 Sparta Selemet 8 0 1 7 10:38 1
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oguzsport 7 4 2 1 8:3 14
2 Stauceni 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 National Ialoveni 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Falesti 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
5 Victoria 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)