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Stauceni vs National Ialoveni

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup
Tue, Sep 30, 2025
7 - 3
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 7-3, with Stauceni advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Stauceni
40%
Draws
29%
National Ialoveni
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stauceni come out ahead of National Ialoveni on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Stauceni have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Stauceni, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Stauceni Clean Sheet 14%
National Ialoveni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stauceni National Ialoveni
Matches Played 31 1
Wins 15 0
Draws 7 0
Losses 9 1
Goals Scored 3.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Stauceni vs National Ialoveni
7:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stauceni 31 / 100
National Ialoveni 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stauceni National Ialoveni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

National Ialoveni let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

H2H data points to 10.00 goals as a typical output.

Stauceni's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Stauceni has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stauceni VS National Ialoveni
3.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stauceni

(Home)
16 May
Iskra Ribnita
3 : 1
Stauceni
09 May
Real Sireti
4 : 3
Stauceni
05 May
Stauceni
0 : 0
Floresti
01 May
Sparta Selemet
5 : 2
Stauceni
25 Apr
Stauceni
0 : 0
Iskra Ribnita
Page 1 of 7

National Ialoveni

(Away)
30 Sept
Stauceni
7 : 3
National Ialoveni

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Petrocub Hincesti-
TBD-
Oguzsport1
Olimp Comrat2
Zaria Balti-
TBD-
Falesti1
Victoria2
Sheriff Tiraspol-
TBD-
FCM Ungheni3
Steaua Nordului2
Dacia Buiucani-
TBD-
Stauceni7
National Ialoveni3
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
Univer Comrat6
Constructorul Leova1
Politehnica UTM-
TBD-
Real Sireti7
CSFCJT Atletico2
Milsami-
TBD-
Floresti6
EFA Visoca0
Sparta Selemet-
TBD-
Iskra Ribnita4
FC Congaz1
1/8-finals
Petrocub Hincesti2
Olimp Comrat0
CSF Balti6
Victoria1
Sheriff Tiraspol7
FCM Ungheni0
Dacia Buiucani1
Stauceni0
Zimbru Chisinau10
Univer Comrat0
Politehnica UTM6
Real Sireti1
Milsami1
Floresti0
Sparta Selemet3
Iskra Ribnita1
Quarter-finals
Petrocub Hincesti2
CSF Balti1
Sheriff Tiraspol4
Dacia Buiucani1
Zimbru Chisinau10
Politehnica UTM0
Milsami5
Sparta Selemet0
Semi-finals
Petrocub Hincesti1
Sheriff Tiraspol2
Zimbru Chisinau3
Milsami0
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol2
Zimbru Chisinau0