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Steadfast vs Northern City Prediction & H2H Stats

Ghana Ghana

Division One League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Zakaria O.
31' Event
Adam W.
35' Event
Iddrisu M.

AI Match Summary

The Division One League 2023/2024 game between Steadfast and Northern City finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Steadfast.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Steadfast
30%
Draws
33%
Northern City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Steadfast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Northern City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Steadfast's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Steadfast Clean Sheet 20%
Northern City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Steadfast Northern City
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.21 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2024 Division One League
Steadfast vs Northern City
3:1
Apr 6, 2024 Division One League
Northern City vs Steadfast
2:1
Feb 25, 2024 Division One League
Steadfast vs Northern City
2:2
Nov 12, 2023 Division One League
Northern City vs Steadfast
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Steadfast Compare

Top Goalscorer Iddrisu M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Adam W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Northern City Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakaria O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.59
Avg xA / game 0.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Steadfast 40 / 100
Northern City 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Steadfast Northern City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Steadfast Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Northern City conceded in 89% of 37 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Steadfast stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Steadfast scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Steadfast VS Northern City
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Steadfast

(Home)
28 Sept
Steadfast
2 : 1
Tamale City
18 Sept
Steadfast
1 : 1
Wa Power
24 May
Steadfast
3 : 1
Northern City
17 May
Tamale City
3 : 4
Steadfast
10 May
VC Warriors
2 : 2
Steadfast
Page 1 of 6

Northern City

(Away)
25 Sept
Northern City
1 : 1
Berekum City
19 Sept
Tamale City
1 : 0
Northern City
02 May
Northern City
2 : 1
Tamale City
25 Apr
Real Tamale
2 : 3
Northern City
11 Apr
Northern City
3 : 2
Sankara Nationals FC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holy Stars 30 16 5 9 31:19 56
2 New Edubiase 30 15 9 6 34:18 54
3 Ebusua 30 13 12 5 38:22 51
4 Skyy 30 13 8 9 33:26 47
5 Pac Academy 30 14 4 12 34:30 46
6 Soccer Intellectuals 30 12 9 9 28:27 45
7 Rospak 30 11 9 10 28:27 42
8 King Faisal 30 12 3 15 22:27 42
9 Future Stars 30 11 8 11 27:32 41
10 Swedru All Blacks 30 11 7 12 25:22 40
11 Sefwi All Stars 30 11 9 10 34:32 39
12 Asekem 30 11 5 14 28:34 38
13 Elmina Sharks 30 12 3 15 33:36 33
14 Nzema Kotoko 30 11 5 14 27:29 32
15 Venomous Vipers 30 8 6 16 26:36 30
16 Young Redbull 30 6 4 20 22:53 22
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Division One League 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vision 30 17 7 6 46:26 58
2 Okwawu United 30 14 10 6 28:20 52
3 Hohoe United 30 15 7 8 41:19 52
4 Attram de Visser 30 15 7 8 32:24 52
5 Na God 30 14 5 11 36:28 47
6 Home Stars 30 10 15 5 24:19 45
7 Golden Kick 30 13 6 11 38:38 45
8 Nania 30 12 7 11 31:33 43
9 Semper FI FC 30 11 7 12 36:28 40
10 RainMasters 30 10 7 13 23:31 37
11 Kotoku Royals 30 9 10 11 22:29 37
12 Kings Palace 30 9 10 11 29:36 37
13 Akatsi All Stars 30 8 8 14 33:46 32
14 Uncle T United 30 8 7 15 33:40 31
15 Susubiribi 30 6 7 17 19:37 25
16 Still Believe 30 5 8 17 25:42 23
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Division One League 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Techiman Heroes 28 19 2 7 39:19 53
2 VC Warriors 28 13 8 7 35:26 47
3 Tamale City 28 12 7 9 40:23 43
4 Northern City 28 11 4 13 35:40 37
5 Wa Power 28 9 7 12 26:39 37
6 Steadfast 28 9 6 13 32:38 33
7 Wa Suntaa 28 9 6 13 27:33 33
8 Maana 28 8 4 16 30:46 22
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Division One League 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Apostles 28 15 5 8 26:20 54
2 Techiman Liberty 28 15 8 5 31:19 49
3 Mighty Royals 28 13 5 10 28:25 44
4 Debibi United 28 12 7 9 42:28 43
5 Baffour SA 28 11 3 14 30:29 36
6 Eleven Wonders 28 10 6 12 23:27 36
7 Berekum City 28 9 7 12 27:24 34
8 Brong Ahafo 28 4 5 19 16:51 13
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Division One League 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)