Sport Picks
Steel City vs Northern Indiana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League Two 
Match Events
63'
63'
Nissen-Lie J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Steel City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Steel City lately — more wins on the board than Northern Indiana.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Steel City taking it.
- Steel City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Steel City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Steel City Clean Sheet 20%
Northern Indiana Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Steel City | Northern Indiana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 25 |
| Wins | 18 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 USL League Two
Steel City vs Northern Indiana
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Steel City Compare
Top Goalscorer Nissen-Lie J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Northern Indiana Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Steel City 42 / 100
Northern Indiana 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Steel City Northern Indiana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Steel City's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Northern Indiana conceded in 76% of 25 recent games.
Recent resilience: Steel City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Steel City VS Northern Indiana
2 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Steel City
(Home) 19 Jul
Flint City
2 : 1 Steel City
17 Jul
Steel City
1 : 0 Northern Indiana
11 Jul
Lorain County Leviathan
0 : 1 Steel City
08 Jul
Cleveland Force
0 : 1 Steel City
01 Jul
Steel City
3 : 1 Cleveland Force
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Steel City
1 : 0 Northern Indiana
01 Jul
Steel City
3 : 1 Cleveland Force
13 Jun
Steel City
4 : 0 Erie Sports Center
10 Jun
Steel City
0 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
06 Jun
Steel City
3 : 0 Buffalo
Page 1 of 3
Northern Indiana
(Away) 17 Jul
Steel City
1 : 0 Northern Indiana
12 Jul
Northern Indiana
3 : 2 Dayton
08 Jul
Toledo Villa
1 : 2 Northern Indiana
01 Jul
Louisville City 2
0 : 1 Northern Indiana
27 Jun
Toledo Villa
2 : 3 Northern Indiana
Page 1 of 5
17 Jul
Steel City
1 : 0 Northern Indiana
08 Jul
Toledo Villa
1 : 2 Northern Indiana
01 Jul
Louisville City 2
0 : 1 Northern Indiana
27 Jun
Toledo Villa
2 : 3 Northern Indiana
20 Jun
Dayton
4 : 2 Northern Indiana
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Flint City 2
Buffalo 0
Steel City 1
Northern Indiana 0
Peoria IL 3
Sueno 2
Minneapolis City 2
West Virginia 0
Ballard 2
Utah United 1
Colorado Storm 2
Snohomish United 1
San Francisco City 1
Tucson 0
Ventura 1
Project 51O 0
Fort Lauderdale United 4
Swarm FC 0
Dothan United 0
Brave SC 1
Laredo Heat 2
Texoma FC 0
Little Rock Rangers 1
GFI Woodlands 2
Vermont Green 4
Ironbound SC 0
Ocean City 2
Motown 2 0
Lionsbridge 2
Asheville City 3
Charlotte Independence 2 0
Appalachian FC 2
1/8-finals
Flint City 2
Steel City 1
Peoria IL 4
Minneapolis City 0
Ballard 4
Colorado Storm 3
San Francisco City 1
Ventura 6
Fort Lauderdale United 3
Brave SC 0
Laredo Heat 6
GFI Woodlands 1
Vermont Green 4
Ocean City 0
Asheville City 4
Appalachian FC 2
Quarter-finals
Flint City 4
Peoria IL 0
Ballard 1
Ventura 2
Fort Lauderdale United 1
Laredo Heat 2
Vermont Green 4
Asheville City 0
Semi-finals
Flint City 1
Ventura 0
Laredo Heat 1
Vermont Green 7
Final
Flint City 1
Vermont Green 2
