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Stellenbosch FC vs Orlando Pirates

South Africa South Africa

Betway Premiership Danie Craven Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stellenbosch FC play Orlando Pirates in the Betway Premiership. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stellenbosch FC averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. Orlando Pirates averaged 2.1 goals scored and 0.42 conceded. In past meetings, Stellenbosch FC won 1, Orlando Pirates won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 5, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Stellenbosch FC and 1.94 for Orlando Pirates. This points to a Orlando Pirates double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Stellenbosch FC
23%
Draws
51%
Orlando Pirates
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Orlando Pirates

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Stellenbosch FC picked up more points recently compared to Orlando Pirates.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Stellenbosch FC Clean Sheet 10%
Orlando Pirates Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stellenbosch FC Orlando Pirates
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 23
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 0.87 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Betway Premiership
Stellenbosch FC vs Orlando Pirates
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 MTN 8 Cup
Orlando Pirates vs Stellenbosch FC
3:0
Aug 20, 2025 Betway Premiership
Orlando Pirates vs Stellenbosch FC
1:0
Mar 11, 2025 Betway Premiership
Stellenbosch FC vs Orlando Pirates
0:0
Dec 1, 2024 Betway Premiership
Orlando Pirates vs Stellenbosch FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stellenbosch FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Orlando Pirates Compare

Top Goalscorer Makgopa E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maswanganyi P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stellenbosch FC 25 / 100
Orlando Pirates 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stellenbosch FC Orlando Pirates

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Orlando Pirates or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stellenbosch FC attacking → ← attacking Orlando Pirates

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stellenbosch FC scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Orlando Pirates let in goals in 35% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Stellenbosch FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Orlando Pirates lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 75
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Orlando Pirates30216358:1269
2Mamelodi Sundowns30208257:2168
3Kaizer Chiefs30159633:1954
4AmaZulu30138932:2847
5Sekhukhune301111832:2744
6Golden Arrows301181134:3341
7Polokwane City30913821:2140
8Durban City301091125:2639
9Stellenbosch FC309101126:3037
10Siwelele30813924:2837
11Richards Bay307131023:3034
12TS Galaxy30881430:3832
13Chippa Utd.306101424:4428
14Marumo Gallants304131321:3825
15Magesi30591624:4324
16Orbit College30661821:4724