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Stendal vs Sparta Lichtenberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stendal host Sparta Lichtenberg in the Oberliga NOFV-Nord. This one's hard to separate. Stendal have averaged 1.34 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Sparta Lichtenberg's 2.25 scored and 2.32 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.63) point toward Sparta Lichtenberg. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Stendal
15%
Draws
34%
Sparta Lichtenberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stendal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sparta Lichtenberg have won more games recently than Stendal.
  • Model gives Stendal a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Stendal Clean Sheet 14%
Sparta Lichtenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stendal Sparta Lichtenberg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.34 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stendal 41 / 100
Sparta Lichtenberg 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stendal Sparta Lichtenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Lichtenberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 28 matches.

Stendal found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Difficult form: Sparta Lichtenberg registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Stendal has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stendal VS Sparta Lichtenberg
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stendal

(Home)
10 Oct
Reinickendorfer
2 : 1
Stendal
27 Sept
Stendal
3 : 4
Rathenow
19 Sept
Siedenbollentin
2 : 0
Stendal
13 Sept
Stendal
1 : 0
Lichtenberg
30 Aug
Hansa Rostock II
1 : 2
Stendal
Page 1 of 6

Sparta Lichtenberg

(Away)
27 Sept
Klosterfelde
2 : 1
Sparta Lichtenberg
20 Sept
Sparta Lichtenberg
4 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
13 Sept
Mahlsdorf
2 : 0
Sparta Lichtenberg
30 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 3
Berliner AK 07
16 Aug
Sparta Lichtenberg
1 : 1
FSV Schwerin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berliner AK 07 7 4 3 0 12:6 15
2 Siedenbollentin 7 4 1 2 12:6 13
3 Mahlsdorf 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 Lichtenberg 7 4 0 3 10:8 12
5 Wismar 7 4 0 3 11:11 12
6 Reinickendorfer 7 3 2 2 10:9 11
7 Rathenow 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
8 Hansa Rostock II 7 2 3 2 18:11 9
9 Hertha Zehlendorf 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
10 TB Berlin 7 2 3 2 7:7 9
11 FSV Schwerin 7 2 3 2 11:12 9
12 Klosterfelde 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
13 TUS Makkabi 7 2 2 3 6:14 8
14 Stendal 7 2 1 4 11:14 7
15 Sparta Lichtenberg 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
16 TSG Neustrelitz 7 1 0 6 10:18 3
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2027/2028 (Main)